NQ Weekly Outlook – Week 36 of 2026 (SEP 04 - SEP 11)E-mini Nasdaq-100 FuturesCME_MINI:NQ1!UA_CAPITALNQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK NQ Weekly Recap Outlook Price retested Demand 1 and reacted from more than 20 points above the level. As I shared with the group, that reaction alone was enough for us. The entire move from Demand 1 delivered a 770-point, 2.67% rally under Long Scenario 2. As communicated to the group, we took the entry and held the long through Friday, until the NFP release. After the NFP data came out, we closed our long positions and protected ourselves from the subsequent downside. A very nice profit on this one. (For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.) UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 35 Total Trades Closed: 12 Winning Trades: 8 Losing Trades: 4 Overall Win Rate: 67% Index Options: 2 Trades (2 Wins) Futures Desk: 7 Trades (4 Wins / 3 Losses) Equities (Stocks): 2 Trades (1 Win / 1 Loss) Precious Metals/Commodities: 1 Trade (1 Win) Result: A solid Green Week. This Week's Scenarios / Prediction Risk Index This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions. Long term: Risk on Mid term: Risk on Short term: Neutral A warning: Macro liquidity conditions remain fragile, and a negative news catalyst could still trigger a sharp downside flush. Geopolitical risk, particularly the Iran conflict, remains elevated, while the macro environment continues to show significant compression and imbalance. NQ Futures Technical Look There are two zones where I expect bullish reactions. SWING LEVEL: 29400 SUPPORT 2: 28525 If price finds support and bounces from either of these two levels, I expect the following bullish targets: FLIP LEVEL: 30078 BULLISH TARGET 1: 30600 BULLISH TARGET 2: 30990 Flip Level Rejection: If price gets rejected at the Flip Level, we may look for a short opportunity targeting the Swing Level first, with further downside toward Support 2. Decision Zone: The Flip Level appears to be a critical decision zone for the next directional move. Blue Box Breakdown: If price breaks below the Blue Box, we may look for a short setup targeting Support 2. A strong break above the Flip Level could initiate a move toward the Bullish Targets above. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.