NEAR/USDT | H2 | STRONG TREND AT UPPER BOUNDARYNEAR / USDTMEXC:NEARUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $2.6876 (+2.85%) │ TP2: $2.7844 (+6.56%) 🛑 SL: $2.4040 (-8.00%) │ R/R: 1 : 0.82 ⚠️ Stop is wider than TP2 target (R/R < 1) — the closer target is taken more often, but calculate your position size based on the stop size FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND NEAR received a fresh project catalyst: the launch of Stateless Validation on the mainnet on September 5 strengthened the narrative of scalability and the token's infrastructural significance. Against this backdrop, the asset is moving in tandem with the overall recovery of risk appetite in crypto, where altcoins are showing technical breakouts. The Fear and Greed Index at 41 (fear zone) increases sensitivity to positive news, which favors continued growth. In the coming days, the market awaits the release of the Core Producer Price Index (Core PPI) on 09/10/2026 (forecast 0.3% vs. previous 0.2%) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 09/11/2026 — these releases will set the tone for movements through the liquidity channel. TECHNICAL PICTURE The price of $2.6130 has consolidated in the upper 20% of the last 100 candles' range, testing the recent high. ADX 28.6 confirms a strong trend with buyer advantage. The price broke above the upper Bollinger Band (2.61) and is holding above it, indicating a continuation of the impulse. The CCI 20 indicator at 166.5 registers overbought conditions, but in a strong trend, this is more a sign of strength than a reversal signal. The widening of the Keltner Channel (width 14.15) confirms increased volatility in favor of an upward move. PROBABILITY MODEL The current regime is bullish: the probability of continued growth is 47% versus 42% for a bearish reversal. The split is nearly even, but the edge in favor of buyers is explained by the fresh fundamental driver and the price's position near the upper boundary of the range. Model confidence is moderate — the market is vulnerable to sharp profit-taking after a strong move. DIRECTION 🟢 BUY The breakout above the upper Bollinger Band and strong ADX indicate a continuation of the upward impulse.