CADJPY WeaknessCANADIAN DOLLAR / JAPANESE YENFX_IDC:CADJPYCoasynCADJPY — CAD Weakness / JPY Strength Thesis I’m watching CADJPY to the short side, with Monday’s Canadian CPI print as the next important catalyst. The thesis is built around a growing divergence between the two currencies. CAD has previously held without a clear incentive for the Bank of Canada to tighten again, while the yen is beginning to strengthen into the next BOJ decision window. At the same time, ongoing trade pressure remains a headwind for CAD and makes sustained CAD strength harder to justify. I’m not looking to short simply because price is lower. I want to see fresh CAD weakness accompanied by momentum and acceptance below the current structure before treating the move as actionable. If that weakness confirms, the objective is to carry the thesis toward the next meaningful liquidity zone below. This may not be a short-duration move — the path could develop over several weeks, potentially into the next quarter, although price may travel there faster if momentum expands. What I’m watching: Canadian CPI on Monday evidence of renewed CAD weakness after the print continued JPY strength failure of CAD to reclaim the current resistance/decision zone momentum confirming the directional break Bias: Short CAD / Long JPY Conviction: Strong, but confirmation still required. The plan is established before the outcome. The market still has to earn the trade.