UEFA Nations League Türkiye 28 Sep 2026 19:45 Italy Prediction: Italy to win 2.40 View Odds > Pick your prediction TürkiyeDraw Italy Türkiye vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips – 28/09/2026 28 Sep 2026 Louis HecqTürkiye welcome Italy to close out their UEFA Nations League A, Group 1 fixtures on 28 September 2026, with kickoff set for 19:45 local time. Both sides share a pool with France and Belgium, meaning every point carries genuine weight in the battle for top spot and qualification for the knockout rounds. For Italy, Roberto Mancini's return as head coach marks a fresh chapter after the disappointment of missing the 2026 World Cup. Türkiye, meanwhile, are eager to channel their own World Cup frustrations into a strong Nations League campaign. Our prediction X2: Double Chance Draw or Italy 2.40 on Betfred · Confidence Medium Odds recorded on 26 Sep 2026 at 21:18 · Odds are subject to change Recommended Bets BetfredWilliam HillCoral Türkiye to win2.752.623.10Under 2.5·2.002.00BTTS Yes1.621.621.57 Odds recorded on 26 Sep 2026 at 21:18 · Odds are subject to changeMatch AnalysisItaly arrive as clear bookmaker favourites at 2.40, backed by historical dominance over Türkiye: 3 wins, 6 goals scored and only 2 conceded in recorded head-to-head meetings. Mancini's revamped Azzurri carry structural quality even through rotation.3 wins in recorded H2H meetings, conceding just 2 goals against Türkiye historically.Nine new call-ups signal Mancini's intent to build depth across four Nations League fixtures.Italy's defensive organisation limits opponents even during squad rotation cycles and experimental line-ups.Türkiye missing Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız removes their two most dangerous creators, easing Italian defensive workload.Türkiye face this Nations League opener at 2.75 with a heavily depleted squad. Beyond Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız, five further players missed September 21 training, leaving Stefan Kuntz with serious selection concerns and limited creative options in midfield.Hakan Çalhanoğlu absent, stripping Türkiye of their primary tempo-controller and press-breaker.Kenan Yıldız out until late November, eliminating Türkiye's most dangerous attacking threat.Five additional players doubtful after missing training, severely depleting squad depth and cohesion.Key point: With no goals market data available, the double chance covering draw or Italy suits the 58% X2 confidence; Italy's away price at 2.40 offers the sharpest single-outcome value. Form & Statistics: Türkiye vs Italy Türkiye Recent form WLLWW Wins3/5 (60%) Draws0/5 (0%) Losses2/5 (40%) Season statistics (5) 0Total goals 0%Both teams score 0Goals scored 0Goals conceded Italy Recent form WWD Wins2/3 (67%) Draws1/3 (33%) Losses0/3 (0%) Season statistics (3) 0Total goals 0%Both teams score 0Goals scored 0Goals conceded Odds comparison BetfredWilliam HillCoralLadbrokesVirgin BetLiveScore Bet Türkiye to win2.752.623.103.102.702.70Draw3.603.252.252.253.303.30Italy to win2.402.402.872.802.332.33Under 2.5·2.002.002.001.921.88BTTS Yes1.621.621.571.571.631.63 Odds recorded on 26 Sep 2026 at 21:18 · Odds are subject to changeOur VerdictItaly's four-match unbeaten run and head-to-head superiority make the draw or away double chance (X2) the standout selection here. The away win price at 2.40 already reflects the Azzurri's status as favourites, while the draw at 3.60 provides a safety net given Türkiye's strong home form of three wins in their last five. With Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız sidelined, Türkiye lack creative thrust, tilting the balance further toward Mancini's refreshed squad. Back Italy not to lose.Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.Competition: UEFA Nations LeagueStage: 2Date: 28 Sep 2026Time: 19:45 BSTFrequently Asked QuestionsWhat is the best bet for Türkiye vs Italy?The double chance covering a draw or an Italian victory represents the standout option here, supported by the away side at 2.40. Italy's historical dominance over Türkiye, combined with the absence of Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız, leaves the hosts significantly weakened. Mancini's revamped Azzurri carry enough structural quality to avoid defeat at the very least.What time does Türkiye vs Italy kick off?This UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off at 18:45 UTC on 28 September 2026. The match is scheduled to be played in Türkiye, with the precise venue subject to confirmation by the Turkish Football Federation. Supporters in the United Kingdom should note that kickoff falls at 19:45 BST.Where can I watch Türkiye vs Italy on TV?Broadcast arrangements for this UEFA Nations League fixture had not been officially confirmed at the time of writing. Supporters are advised to check with their domestic broadcasters, as rights holders vary by territory. In the United Kingdom, UEFA Nations League matches are typically shared across Channel 4 and Sky Sports, so those platforms are worth monitoring.What is Türkiye's recent record against Italy?Italy's record against Türkiye in recorded head-to-head meetings makes for encouraging reading for the Azzurri faithful: three wins, six goals scored, and just two conceded. Türkiye have struggled to impose themselves on their Italian counterparts across these fixtures, and that historical pattern lends further weight to the 2.40 end of the market ahead of this encounter.The post Türkiye vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips – 28/09/2026 appeared first on The Football Faithful.