FinancialJuice: ING: Metals - FJElite

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Chinese gold imports rose 39.3% year-on-year to 141.7 tonnes in August, taking year-to-date imports to a record 1,141.2 tonnes, up 72.2%. Lower gold prices, a stronger yuan and persistent domestic price premiums encouraged inflows, while banks also drew on remaining import quotas under the licensing regime introduced by the People's Bank of China in June. Chinese gold ETFs added around 44 tonnes through August, an 18% increase from the start of the year, according to the Shanghai Gold Exchange, while global ETF holdings were broadly unchanged.LME copper extended gains for a sixth consecutive session on Tuesday, its longest winning streak since May, before retreating slightly Wednesday morning, as tight physical market conditions in China continued to support prices. Falling inventories, holiday-related restocking and seasonal demand ahead of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays boosted consumption. Shanghai copper cathode inventories fell by 14,700 tonnes to 43,900 tonnes, the lowest level since December 2023. While imported copper arrivals have increased, most material has flowed directly to fabricators rather than warehouses, keeping spot supplies tight.Indonesia's Morowali Industrial Park (IMIP) has instructed nickel pig iron producers to curb output as El Niño-related drought conditions strain water supplies needed for processing operations. The cuts could affect around 100,000 tonnes of NPI production, compared with the park's annual capacity of roughly 4.2 million tonnes.Investor positioning across base metals remained subdued. According to the latest COTR data, net bullish copper positions fell by 3,981 lots to 42,132 lots, the lowest level since late March and marking a sixth consecutive weekly decline despite higher prices. Aluminium net longs dropped by 11,623 lots to 77,423 lots, driven largely by long liquidation, while zinc net longs fell by 2,787 lots to 29,946 lots, extending their decline for a fourth straight week.