BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD BREAKS LOWER VALUE, SELLERS STILL IN CONTROLGoldOANDA:XAUUSDBrianLionCapitalBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD BREAKS LOWER VALUE, SELLERS STILL IN CONTROL Gold is turning lower again after failing to build a clean recovery above the 4,350 area. The market is still moving inside this week’s range, but the short-term structure is getting weaker. The US Dollar remains firm near a two-month high as hawkish Fed expectations continue to offset the positive impact from diplomacy hopes. At the same time, daily technical signals are still mixed, with RSI staying neutral. This means gold is not collapsing aggressively yet, but buyers also do not have enough strength to reverse the structure. Right now, the chart is showing a market controlled by sellers below value. Technical structure On the H2 chart, gold is trading around 4,258 after breaking below the Lower Value / Rotation Zone. The key point is that price failed to hold above the previous value support around 4,275 - 4,290. This zone had acted as a reaction area before, but now gold is trading below it. If price retests this area and rejects, it can become short-term resistance. The next important support is the VAL / Auction Support around 4,222. This is the lower auction area where buyers may attempt a reaction. However, if this level breaks, the bearish structure can extend deeper. Above the market, the nearest seller zones are clear: Sellside liquidity around 4,376 Sellzone around 4,403 Upper Value / Distribution Resistance around 4,460 - 4,475 As long as gold remains below these resistance levels, the broader short-term pressure remains bearish. Important zones Current price area: 4,250 - 4,265 Gold is trading below lower value after losing short-term support. Lower Value / Rotation Zone: 4,275 - 4,290 Broken value area. This may become resistance if price retests. VAL / Auction Support: 4,222 Main lower support and possible buyer reaction zone. Sellside liquidity: 4,376 First liquidity area above the market. Sellzone: 4,403 Short-term seller reaction zone if gold rebounds stronger. Upper Value / Distribution Resistance: 4,460 - 4,475 Major resistance and seller control area. Trading scenario Priority view: sell on retest below 4,275 - 4,290 Entry: Look for sell positions only if gold rebounds into 4,275 - 4,290 and shows clear bearish rejection. Stop Loss: Above the rejection high or above the reclaimed lower value zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,222 TP2: 4,190 TP3: Trail lower only if gold breaks below the auction support with strong momentum This setup follows the current bearish value rotation. Since price has already broken lower, the cleaner sell plan is to wait for a retest instead of chasing the low. Alternative buy scenario A buy setup is only interesting if gold reaches 4,222 and shows a strong bullish rejection. Entry: Look for buy positions only if price reacts clearly from the VAL / Auction Support zone. Stop Loss: Below the local sweep low. Take Profit: TP1: 4,275 - 4,290 TP2: 4,350 TP3: 4,376 only if buyers reclaim value strongly This would be a reaction buy, not a confirmed bullish reversal. For gold to regain stronger upside control, price needs to reclaim 4,290 first, then break back above 4,350. Final view Gold is still under short-term seller pressure. The failure below 4,350 and the break under the Lower Value zone show that buyers are losing control of the current auction. The market is not fully one-way yet because price is still inside the weekly range, but the structure is clearly weaker below 4,275 - 4,290. For now, my map is simple: Below 4,275 - 4,290 = sellers remain active. Reject 4,275 - 4,290 = downside toward 4,222. Hold 4,222 = buyers may attempt a reaction. Break 4,222 = deeper correction can continue. Reclaim 4,350 = recovery structure improves. Gold is not a clean buy market yet. The best plan is to wait for confirmation: either sellers defend the broken lower value zone, or buyers defend the 4,222 auction support. Will gold hold the 4,222 support, or will sellers push the market into a deeper correction this week?