赫海威, 郭莉莉2026年9月23日日本首相高市早苗去年在东京与特朗普总统（未出现在照片中）会晤。高市早苗仍致力于说服特朗普维持在东亚的安全承诺。 Haiyun Jiang/The New York TimesFor almost a year, China has orchestrated a bruising campaign against Japan in retaliation for a comment by its prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, in defense of Taiwan.近一年来，中国针对日本策划了一场猛烈的打压行动，以报复日本首相高市早苗保卫台湾的言论。When Ms. Takaichi meets with President Trump in New York City on Tuesday, those tensions are likely to be high on the agenda.当高市早苗周二在纽约市与特朗普总统会晤时，这些紧张局势很可能成为议程上的重要议题。Ms. Takaichi, a longtime critic of Beijing, is expected to express her concern to Mr. Trump about China’s increasingly aggressive economic and security measures, according to two people familiar with her plans, including restrictions on the export of rare earth minerals. She will also emphasize her desire for a de-escalation with China, the individuals said.据两名熟悉其计划的人士透露，长期批评北京的高市早苗预计将向特朗普表达她对中国日益咄咄逼人的经济和安全措施的担忧，包括对稀土矿产出口的限制。这些人士表示，她还将强调，她希望与中国缓和紧张局势。The meeting between Mr. Trump and Ms. Takaichi, on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, comes a day before Mr. Trump is set to welcome China’s leader, Xi Jinping, for a state visit in Washington. Ms. Takaichi remains focused on persuading Mr. Trump to maintain security commitments in East Asia, including the more than 50,000 American troops stationed in Japan.特朗普与高市早苗在联合国大会期间会晤，次日特朗普就将在华盛顿欢迎到访的中国领导人习近平。高市早苗的重点依然是说服特朗普维持在东亚的安全承诺，包括驻扎在日本的5万多名美军。Kenneth R. Weinstein, Japan chair at Hudson Institute, a think tank in Washington, said that Ms. Takaichi had a strong relationship with Mr. Trump and that she would likely seek to reaffirm their alliance as a buffer against Mr. Xi.华盛顿智库哈德逊研究所日本项目主席肯尼斯·温斯坦表示，高市早苗与特朗普关系密切，她很可能会寻求重申两国的同盟关系，以此作为对抗习近平的缓冲。“She wants President Trump to send a clear signal to Xi Jinping that there is no distance between the U.S. and Japan on an array of critical issues,” he said.“她希望特朗普总统向习近平发出一个明确的信号，表明在一系列关键问题上，美日之间没有任何分歧，”他说。Ms. Takaichi’s office did not immediately respond to a request for comment about the tensions with China and her meeting with Mr. Trump.高市早苗的办公室没有立即回应关于与中国紧张局势以及她与特朗普会晤的置评请求。China and Japan have been at odds since November, when Ms. Takaichi said that Japan could intervene militarily if China were to attack Taiwan, a self-governed democracy that Beijing considers part of its territory. Beijing unleashed a wave of reprisals, restricting Japanese seafood imports, discouraging tourism to Japan and limiting the export of critical minerals to Japan. Chinese officials also cut off diplomatic channels to Tokyo.自去年11月以来，中日关系持续紧张，当时高市早苗表示，如果中国攻击台湾，日本可能会进行军事干预；台湾是一个自治的民主政体，而北京认为它是其领土的一部分。北京随后发起了一波报复行动，限制日本海鲜进口，劝阻民众赴日旅游，并限制对日本的关键矿产出口。中国官员还切断了与东京的外交渠道。The economic pressure has intensified in recent months, with tourism from China falling sharply — the number of Chinese tourists was down 59 percent in August from the previous year — and Beijing further restricting the export of rare earth minerals used in a range of essential technologies.近几个月来，经济压力进一步加剧，中国游客数量锐减——8月同比下降了59%，北京还进一步限制了用于一系列关键技术的稀土矿产出口。China in July exported 122 tons of rare earth magnets to Japan, according to Chinese customs data, a 52 percent drop from the year before. In August, China’s rare earth magnets to Japan were 17 percent lower compared with a year earlier.根据中国海关数据，中国7月向日本出口了122吨稀土磁铁，同比下降52%。8月，中国对日本的稀土磁铁出口量同比下降了17%。In recent months, Ms. Takaichi’s government has attempted to re-engage with China, sending delegations of lawmakers and business leaders to Beijing.近几个月来，高市政府试图重新与中国接触，并向北京派遣了由议员和商界领袖组成的代表团。去年在韩国庆州，高市早苗与习近平握手。预计两人将于11月在深圳举行的亚太经济合作组织论坛会议上再次会面。Those visits have yielded some frank conversations. During one recent meeting in Beijing, Chinese officials peppered their Japanese visitors with questions about Ms. Takaichi’s plans to build up Japan’s military, asking if she was doing so with the goal of being able to defend Taiwan, according to a Japanese lawmaker who was present. The lawmaker asked not to be named because the meeting was private.这些访问促成了一些坦率的对话。据一位在场的日本议员透露，在最近于北京举行的一次会议上，中国官员就高市女士加强日本军力的计划向日本来访者提出了一连串的问题，询问她这样做是否是为了能够保卫台湾。由于会议是私下进行的，该议员要求匿名。During another recent visit, Masahiro Komura, a Japanese lawmaker who is a member of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, pressed his Chinese counterparts on export restrictions and the recent detention of Japanese nationals on smuggling charges. Asked in an interview whether the talks had yielded any breakthroughs, he joked that it was a positive sign that no Japanese lawmakers were detained in China during the visit.在最近的另一次访问中，日本执政党自民党议员高村正大就出口限制和近期日本国民因走私指控被拘留一事向中国同级官员施压。在接受采访被问及谈判是否取得任何突破时，他开玩笑说，在访问期间没有日本议员在中国被拘留，这就是一个积极的信号。“The top priority is to continue the diplomatic relationship,” he said. “Without communication between two countries, both sides will become very skeptical, and a negative situation will escalate.”“当务之急是继续保持外交关系，”他说。“如果两国之间没有沟通，双方都会变得非常多疑，负面局势就会升级。”Chinese officials have used the recent visits from Japanese lawmakers as an opportunity to underline their unhappiness with Ms. Takaichi. In private, they have remained fixated on Ms. Takaichi’s remark on Taiwan, according to Japanese participants in the meetings, demanding that she retract it.中国官员利用日本议员最近的访问作为机会，强调他们对高市早苗的不满。据参加会议的日方人士透露，在私下里，他们一直对高市早苗关于台湾的言论耿耿于怀，要求她予以收回。China’s assistant minister of foreign affairs, Liu Bin, lectured a group of Japanese lawmakers when they met last week. He said Ms. Takaichi’s “erroneous remarks and actions” were the primary obstacle and that Japan should “demonstrate through concrete actions that it is worthy of the trust of its Asian neighbors.”中国外交部部长助理刘彬在上周会见一群日本议员时对他们进行了严词告诫。他表示，高市早苗的“错误言行”是主要障碍，日本应“以实际行动取信亚洲邻国”。In a meeting with another Japanese delegation in late August, Lu Kang, deputy head of the Chinese Communist Party’s International Department, said that “China-Japan relations are facing serious difficulties, and the root causes are clear.”在8月底与另一个日本代表团的会晤中，中共中央对外联络部副部长陆慷表示，“当前中日关系陷入严重困难，症结是清楚的。”Ms. Takaichi’s advisers say she has no intention of backing down from her remarks, given her long history of support for Taiwan and widespread anxiety about China among the Japanese public.高市早苗的顾问表示，鉴于她长期以来对台湾的支持以及日本公众对中国普遍存在的焦虑，她无意收回自己的言论。Ms. Takaichi and Mr. Xi are set to cross paths again in November at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum meeting in Shenzhen. Neither side has commented yet on whether the two leaders will set aside time to meet one on one.高市早苗和习近平将于11月在深圳举行的亚太经济合作组织论坛会议上再次碰面。关于两位领导人是否会安排时间进行一对一会晤，双方均未发表评论。Lian Degui, director of the Center for Japanese Studies at Shanghai International Studies University, said the recent meetings between Chinese and Japanese officials showed there was the potential for relations to be repaired, depending on the messages from Ms. Takaichi’s administration.上海外国语大学日本研究中心主任廉德瑰表示，中日官员最近的会晤表明两国关系有修复的潜力，但这取决于高市早苗政府发出的信息。“If China finds the attitude acceptable, then Japan-China relations can move to the next phase of improvement,” Mr. Lian said. “The prerequisite for improving relations is for the Japanese government to admit its mistake.”“如果中国认为这种态度可以接受，那么中日关系就能进入下一个改善阶段，”廉德瑰说。“改善关系的前提是日本政府承认其错误。”The lack of a trusted intermediary between the two sides is another obstacle, analysts said. Under Ms. Takaichi, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party has lost the support of the Komeito party, formerly its main coalition partner, which had served as a conduit to China.分析人士表示，双方缺乏值得信赖的中间人是另一个障碍。在高市早苗的领导下，执政的自民党失去了公明党的支持，公明党曾是自民党主要的联盟伙伴，并曾充当与中国沟通的渠道。“What is lacking,” said Chen Hong, director of the Asia Pacific Studies Centre at East China Normal University in Shanghai, “is someone who can be taken seriously by Beijing and genuinely influence Takaichi’s decision-making.”上海华东师范大学亚太研究中心主任陈弘说，“目前缺少的是一个能被北京认真对待并且能够真正影响高市决策的人。”In New York, Ms. Takaichi and Mr. Trump have a full agenda, including questions about trade, defense and Tokyo’s currency woes. Ms. Takaichi is expected to highlight Japan’s efforts to make good on a promise to invest $550 billion in the United States, part of a trade deal reached with the Trump administration last year.在纽约，高市早苗和特朗普的议程排得很满，包括关于贸易、国防和东京面临的货币困境等问题。预计高市早苗将重点介绍日本为兑现在美国投资5500亿美元承诺所做的努力，这是去年与特朗普政府达成的贸易协议的一部分。Japan has watched with concern as Mr. Trump has in recent weeks pressured allies like South Korea to provide support for the war in Iran; Ms. Takaichi appears eager to avoid the same fate.最近几周，特朗普向韩国等盟友施压，要求其为伊朗战争提供支持，日本对此感到担忧；高市早苗似乎急切希望避免遭到同样的命运。Ms. Takaichi also faces pressure at home to question Mr. Trump about his administration’s recent decision to sanction the president of the International Criminal Court, Tomoko Akane, a Japanese judge. The decision has stirred deep anger in Japan, and Ms. Takaichi has called it “very unfortunate.”高市早苗在国内也面临压力，被要求就特朗普政府最近决定制裁国际刑事法院院长、日本法官赤根智子一事向特朗普提出质疑。这一决定在日本激起了强烈的愤怒，高市早苗称其“非常令人遗憾”。It is unclear if Mr. Trump wants to get further involved in China’s dispute with Japan, though he has previously vowed to speak “Japan’s praises” to Mr. Xi.目前尚不清楚特朗普是否希望进一步介入中国与日本的争端，尽管他之前曾承诺会向习近平“赞扬日本”。Mr. Weinstein, the expert, said that is unlikely that Mr. Trump would ask Mr. Xi to “dial back the pressure” on Japan.专家温斯坦表示，特朗普不太可能要求习近平对日本“减轻压力”。“The best thing the president can do,” he said, “is continue to send the signal — by regularly consulting Prime Minister Takaichi — that the U.S.-Japan alliance is critical to the United States, Japan and the Indo-Pacific.”他说，“总统能做的无非就是通过定期与高市首相磋商继续发出信号——美日同盟对美国、日本以及印太地区至关重要。”Hisako Ueno自东京、Pei-Lin Wu自台湾台北对本文有报道贡献。赫海威(Javier C. Hernández)是《纽约时报》东京分社社长，领导时报对日本及周边地区的报道。在过去十年的大部分时间里，他一直在亚洲进行报道，此前曾任驻华记者。郭莉莉(Lily Kuo)是《纽约时报》报道中国记者，常驻台北。翻译：纽约时报中文网点击查看本文英文版。