BLK LONG — 4H ALMA Setup (WR 84%)BlackRock, Inc.BATS:BLKGoldfinch_song█ SETUP BlackRock · NYSE:BLK · 4H · long only. ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 6 bar to add / 3 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry. Strategy Tester (BLK 4H): Win rate 84% · profit factor 2.5 · max drawdown 9% Typical hold ~24 bars on winners · asset-manager mean-reversion sleeve Sister template on same bar (OV8839): Win rate 83% · profit factor 2.9 · max drawdown 6% ═ █ WHY NOW Post-PCE Thursday cash open — two independent 4H ALMA long templates fired on the same US bell bar. Twin 4H entries 26 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$970.90 each: · OV8841 (84% WR) · alert 4786837831 · OV8839 (83% WR) · alert 4786833395 Working average ~$970.90 on two fresh lots; hard stop zone −10% ~$873.80. Exits follow Pine ALMA flip + min diff or the hard stop — no discretionary TP ladder. Price is ~2% under the prior session’s 4H ALMA cluster (~$987) — this is a pullback entry into financials beta, not a breakout chase. ═ █ MACRO Sector: BLK = world’s largest asset manager — AUM and markets beta, not a single-theme AI name. Earnings quality + ETF flows matter more than one CPI print. Calendar: Hot Core PCE week — real yields still the swing factor. US cash indices held better than crypto/metals overnight; financials can benefit if the tape reads “soft landing” rather than “re-acceleration.” Tape: Same Thu bell that tagged PFE / POOL exits elsewhere in the US sleeve — BLK is the quality financial long in that batch. ═ █ OUTLOOK Positive factors - 84% / 83% WR on two 4H ALMA exports · PF 2.5–2.9 · max DD 6–9% — tight risk profile vs broad book - Fresh 26 Jun 13:30Z twin entries inside the 24h publish window - ALMA (25 Jun board, trust live 4H chart): execution TF LONG · Cur L:1 vs LAvg:3.4 — young above-session, not time-overheated · price was testing ~$987 ALMA before today’s ~$971 fill = deeper discount into the band - EMA (25 Jun): 4H Cur S:5 vs Avg S:8.9 — below-session not yet overstretched vs average length; 1H Cur S:18 vs Avg S:8.9 — extended sell-time on 1H, but 4H execution bar resets the frame for mean-reversion longs - 4H SMC In FVG Bull on 24 Jun (~$983) — demand pocket still relevant on pullback toward high-$960s - Hard −10% stop caps nominal script risk per lot Negative factors - Daily ALMA still SHORT on 25 Jun board (Cur S:5 vs Avg S:3.0) — slow grid below daily band; 4H long fights higher-TF headwind until 1D reclaims - EMA slow TFs Below: 1D/3D/1W all Below with +3.9% to +4.6% dev on 25 Jun — correction leg not cleared on dailies - 25 Jun daily alert flagged New Bear FVG — overhead supply not fully erased - Twin templates on one print = correlated adds, not diversification — one ALMA exit closes both legs - Post-PCE gap risk on 4H US bars — %-stop can slip on headline open - Past backtest ≠ live fills (spread, session gaps on $900+ prints) Base case: 4H ALMA holds ~$970 cluster · 1H sell-time exhausts · slow grind back toward mid-$980s / 4H ALMA if US financials stay bid post-PCE. Bear case: lose 4H ALMA on a risk-off day · daily SHORT ALMA extends · −10% from ~$970.9 toward ~$874.