Here is the English translation of the Chan Theory () technicaRIF / TetherUSBINANCE:RIFUSDTtrade1638Here is the English translation of the Chan Theory () technical analysis for RIF/USDT. --- RIF/USDT – Chan Theory Technical Analysis 📐 Core Concept Overview The core principle of Chan Theory is "every trend eventually completes." The analysis is based on four fundamental elements: Fractals, Strokes (Bi), Segments (Xian Duan), and Pivots (Zhongshu). It relies solely on price action itself, without external indicators, to derive buy and sell signals. --- 📊 Weekly Chart Analysis Element Current State Technical Implication Weekly Bi (Stroke) A downward stroke from the $0.48 high is still in progress No bottom fractal confirmation yet — the downward stroke continues Weekly Segment Currently in a downward segment The broader trend remains bearish Weekly Pivot Formed a weekly-level pivot in the $0.08 – $0.22 range Price has broken below the pivot's lower bound — trading below the pivot Divergence Check Downward stroke momentum weaker than previous (MACD area shrinking) Range divergence signal is emerging — but awaits bottom fractal confirmation Weekly Conclusion: The larger timeframe is in the late stages of a downtrend, but a clear bottoming signal has not yet appeared. A daily-level bottom fractal is needed first to confirm a potential reversal. --- 📈 Daily Chart Analysis Element Current State Technical Implication Daily Bi (Stroke) A bottom fractal has formed around $0.12; an upward stroke has started Short-term bottoming signal is visible Daily Segment Still in a downward segment, but segment destruction is possible If the upward stroke breaks above the previous high of $0.15, the downward segment will be destroyed Daily Pivot A new daily-level pivot is forming in the $0.12 – $0.16 range Pivot construction underway — direction unclear Divergence Check The downward stroke's low is lower than the previous low, but MACD histogram area has significantly shrunk Bottom divergence is confirmed — this is a potential First Type Buy Point Daily Conclusion: The $0.12 zone is a potential **First Type Buy Point** area. The bottom divergence signal is relatively clear. A volume-backed breakout above the pivot's upper bound ($0.16) would confirm the bottom structure. --- 🔍 30-Minute Chart Analysis (Precision Trading) Element Current State Technical Implication 30-Min Bi (Stroke) An upward stroke is in progress with moderate momentum Short-term rebound continues 30-Min Segment An upward segment has formed, breaking above the previous downward segment's high Smaller timeframe has turned bullish 30-Min Pivot A secondary pivot has formed in the $0.115 – $0.135 range Pivot oscillation — waiting for a Third Type Buy/Sell Point Current Position Price is trading near the pivot's upper bound Watch for a Third Type Buy Point (pullback holding above the pivot's upper bound) 30-Minute Conclusion: The smaller timeframe has already turned bullish. A pullback to the $0.130 – $0.135 range holding above the pivot's upper bound would generate a Third Type Buy Point — a clear signal for adding short-term positions. --- 🎯 Chan Theory Buy/Sell Point Summary Point Type Timeframe Reference Price Status Strategy First Type Buy Point Daily $0.110 – $0.120 Has appeared (bottom divergence) Left-side accumulation zone Second Type Buy Point Daily Pending confirmation (pullback holds above $0.115) Not yet appeared Wait for pullback confirmation Third Type Buy Point 30-Minute $0.130 – $0.135 Approaching Short-term add signal First Type Sell Point Daily $0.180 – $0.220 Not yet appeared Wait for top divergence confirmation --- 📉 Pivot Oscillation Trading Strategy Direction Entry Condition Target Stop-Loss Buy at Pivot Lower Bound Price pulls back to ~$0.115 with a bottom fractal $0.150 $0.108 Breakout Above Pivot Volume-backed breakout above $0.150, pullback holds $0.185 $0.142 Third Type Buy Point Pullback to $0.130 – $0.135 holds with bottom fractal $0.165 – $0.185 $0.125 --- 📌 Comprehensive Chan Theory Assessment 1. Major Trend Judgment: The weekly chart remains in a downtrend, but the daily chart has already generated a bottom divergence First Type Buy Point — a potential "small-to-large" reversal structure is forming. 2. Current Positioning: The daily First Type Buy Point zone has appeared, and the 30-minute chart has already turned bullish. The market is at a critical inflection point transitioning from bottom-building to rebound. 3. Future Scenarios: · Strongest Scenario: Volume-backed breakout above $0.150, pullback holds — confirming the daily downward segment is destroyed. New upward segment begins, targeting **$0.185 – $0.220**. · Neutral Scenario: Continues oscillating within the $0.115 – $0.150 pivot range — extended bottom-building and consolidation. · Weakest Scenario: Breaks below $0.108 — daily bottom divergence fails, continuing the search for new lows. 4. Trading Strategy: · Medium-Term Positions: Accumulate in batches in the $0.115 – $0.120 zone (First Type Buy Point area), with a stop-loss below $0.105. · Short-Term Positions: Wait for the 30-minute Third Type Buy Point (pullback to $0.130 – $0.135 holds) to add positions. · Take-Profit Targets: First target $0.150**, second target **$0.185, third target $0.220. --- Risk Warning: Chan Theory analysis requires real-time dynamic adjustments. Fractal confirmations and divergence judgments must be verified with live price action. This analysis is based on historical data and is for reference only — it does not constitute investment advice. RIF is a highly volatile, low-liquidity asset. Please strictly control position sizing and risk. --- Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading.