Skip to navigationSkip to main contentSkip to right columnADVERTISEMENTJoseph Zeballos-RoigWed, June 24, 2026 at 4:30 PM GMT+2 4 min readJPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon isn’t taking comfort in the stock market’s seemingly endless euphoria that defied a war in the Middle East and the ensuing spike in inflation. Instead, he believes there’s trouble brewing for the U.S. economy.During a June 15 appearance at the Council on Foreign Relations (1), Dimon was blunt in forecasting an eventual stock market contraction. For him, the only question left to answer is when.Must ReadRobert Kiyosaki says this 1 asset will surge 400% in a year and begs investors not to miss this ‘explosion’Jeff Bezos backs a platform that lets anyone invest in rental homes for as little as $100 — here are 5 ways to build wealth like a landlord without actually being oneMillionaires under 43 hold only 25% of their wealth in stocks. Here’s where their money is actually going“We’re in a bull market. It’s like a little tsunami,” he said. “When that kind of thing happens, it’s very hard to stop. But it will stop.”What caught Dimon off-guard about the economyDimon argued that a set of economic developments has insulated the U.S. economy from amplified turmoil so far this year.He listed a low 4% unemployment rate, a capital spending boom among hyperscalers to build out data centers to fuel the AI boom, and a fresh wave of deregulation from the Trump administration that contributed to growing balance sheets among giant Wall Street banks. He also pointed out that the U.S. economy grew 2% in early 2026 (2).Still, Dimon said he’s been caught off guard by Wall Street’s complacency with global volatility given pervasive geopolitical tensions with Iran, Russia and China that may not be resolved anytime soon. The U.S. war with Iran, in particular, led to the closure of the critical Strait of Hormuz commercial waterway, blocking the transit of oil, fertilizers and other energy products that caused a surge in commodity prices. For nearly four months, financial markets mostly brushed it aside.Since the start of the war, both the tech-heavy Nasdaq and S&P 500 indexes are up about 14% and 8%, respectively.Read More: Here are 4 fixed costs Americans constantly overpay for. How many are sabotaging your budget?“I am surprised… that stuff is really important for the free world, but it’s not necessarily the economy today,” Dimon said.“I do think the probability of something bad happening is higher than I think it’s probably embedded in the market,” he said, adding he believed investors were minimizing the odds of inflation that sticks around longer than they anticipate.Dimon’s recent economic anxietyDimon has been piping up about his economic worries in recent months, and it’s not unusual for the JP Morgan CEO to share cautious or pessimistic assessments on the state of the economy (3).Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore Info