BTC Cycle Analysis — 420-Day Bear PatternBitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDJimmyFTAfter mapping three Bitcoin cycles, one pattern stands out — bear markets last almost exactly 420 days. 2018 bear: 427 days / -83% 2022 bear: 420 days / -77% Current bear (projected): 420 days → bottom December 2026 Why shallower this time (-59%)? The $50-53K zone is a structural floor backed by heavy institutional ETF accumulation in 2024. Previous support levels of this significance didn't exist in prior cycles. Expect a possible wick to $44-45K but the real floor holds here. Bull target: $169,383 Both previous bull cycles ran 930-987 days from bottom to top. Applying the same duration from December 2026 puts the peak at Q1 2029, with a 330% gain from the bottom — conservative by BTC standards but justified by a maturing market. Invalidation: Weekly close below $40K BTC reclaims $80K before December 2026 Not financial advice. Personal cycle analysis only.