Nifty Analysis EOD – June 25, 2026 – Wednesday

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Nifty Analysis EOD – June 25, 2026 – WednesdayNifty 50 IndexNSE:NIFTYkzatakia🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 25, 2026 – Wednesday 🔴 Classic Bull Trap: Was It Expiry Manipulation or Long Weekend Profit Booking? 🗞 Nifty Summary Nifty opened with a 123-point gap up, above the PDH and exactly at the high of June 23rd (Tuesday). After the opening tick, the index found a base at 24,107.80 — about 23 points below the open. From there, it climbed to the PWH zone of 24,185 ~ 24,190, where it formed the IBH and spent around 50 minutes consolidating before breaking above both IBH and PWH to test the IBH_1x level. At this point, Nifty had already entered the higher time frame Fib 0.784 ~ 0.786 zone — and the rejection from that zone was swift. Price got dragged back down into a support cluster made up of PWH + IBH + VWAP + Intraday Fib 0.618. That zone held things together for nearly an hour and a half, price staying within a tight 35-point box. But at 14:10, the box broke — and Nifty fell sharply, dropping 142 points, breaching CDO, IBL, PDH, and nearly testing the IBL_1x level. The day closed almost at the low. Textbook bull trap day. IBH breaks → IBH_1x tested → IBL breaks → IBL_1x tested. On one side, today’s close is above the previous day’s close, today’s high and low formed an HH-HL structure — all of that looks constructive. But on the other side, price couldn’t close above the June 18th and June 22nd closing levels, slipped below the 24,075 ~ 24,125 zone, fell under the HTF trendline, and left behind an inverted hammer candle. Two very different pictures depending on where you’re looking. As for what disturbed the day’s sentiment — likely two things. The Sensex expiry manipulation (we saw something similar on Tuesday’s Nifty expiry session), and pre-long-weekend position lightening, with traders wanting to stay light ahead of the uncertainty. Now, Monday’s opening tick will tell us which side of the picture the market wants to show. Until then, enjoy the long weekend. The day printed an inverted hammer on the daily — a candle worth watching. Monday’s opening bias will matter more than usual given the holiday gap. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,125.85 High: 24,261.60 Low: 24,039.00 Close: 24,056.00 Change: +34.35 (+0.14%) 🏗️ Structure Breakdown Type: Inverted Hammer — gap up open, upper wick rejection, close near the low Range: ≈ 222 points — moderate volatility Body: ≈ 70 points — minor net gain masking a full intraday reversal Upper Wick: ≈ 136 points — meaningful supply and rejection from the upper zone Lower Wick: ≈ 17 points — very little demand stepped in near the close 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 263.45 IB Range: 77.55 → Small Market Structure: ImBalanced Trade Highlights: 10:15 Long Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:2.21) 13:39 Long Trade: SL Hit 13:57 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.43) Trade Summary: The long at 10:15 worked well — system did its job there. The 13:39 long hit SL, which stings a little in hindsight given what followed on the short side. The 13:57 short caught part of the breakdown and hit target. The bigger regret is leaving points on the table — the bull trap setup triggered, but I didn’t take it given the expiry day, not wanting to give back what I’d already earned. A reasonable call in the moment, though it’s the kind of trade that stays in your head after the close. 🧱 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 24,125 | 24,190 | 24,235 ~ 24,285 Support Zones: 24,025 | 23,970 | 23,900 | 23,855 🧠 Final Thoughts “Sometimes the setup you skip teaches you more than the one you take.” The thing that stays with me from today is how cleanly the bull trap played out — the IBH break, the HTF fib rejection, the slow grind in that support box, and then the sharp drop. Price followed the structure almost to the page. The setup was visible; the decision to sit it out was mine, and it was made for a reason. For Monday, the opening tick near 24,075 ~ 24,125 will matter a lot. If price opens and holds above that zone, the HH-HL structure could still be in play. If it gaps down or opens weak and fails to reclaim it, the inverted hammer and the HTF trendline breakdown might start to carry more weight. Going into the long weekend, the plan is simple — no assumptions, no bias. Just wait for Monday’s opening tick and let the price show where it wants to go. ✏️ Disclaimer This is my personal digital diary and represents my own analysis and point of view. It is not financial advice; please consult a professional advisor before making any trading decisions.