US500: Lower Yields Are Not Enough While Tech Margins Are Under

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US500: Lower Yields Are Not Enough While Tech Margins Are Under US 500 CASHERRANTE:US500ErranteUS500 is the clearest sign that today’s market is not trading a simple “yields down, stocks up” playbook. If lower US2Y were being treated as pure relief, equities should be bouncing more decisively. Instead, US500 is trading near 7,311 after breaking below 7,336 and testing the 141.4% extension near 7,299. This means the index is still trying to find demand, not confirming recovery. Technically, the structure remains weak. Price is below the WMA near 7,422 and below the Bollinger midline around 7,353. PPO is still negative, and implied volatility has moved higher. Resistance sits at 7,336, then 7,371 and 7,428. Support is 7,299, then 7,280 and 7,245. A move back above 7,371 would show that buyers are stabilizing the market. A break below 7,280 would expose a deeper downside extension. The fundamental pressure is coming from two directions. First, sticky PCE keeps the Fed from giving equities a clean policy cushion. Second, chipflation has created a new problem for technology valuations. Higher memory and storage-chip costs may help chip suppliers, but they can hurt device makers such as Apple if input costs squeeze margins or force price increases. That makes the AI trade more selective and less forgiving. US500 is therefore not only reacting to yields; it is also repricing the risk that technology earnings quality may become more uneven.