USOIL wekly chart with both buy and sell levels 28/06WTI CRUDE OILTVC:USOILF0rexBorexplease comment if this is useful to you ================================================================ TVC:USOIL (WTI CRUDE OIL) -- WEEKLY LEVEL ANALYSIS & PREDICTION Date: 2026-06-28 | Price at Analysis: 70.25 ================================================================ ACTIVE INDICATORS ----------------- MA1 : 69.75 MA2 : 70.23 (price essentially at MA2 -- key equilibrium) MA4 : 79.51 EMA : 74.48 100-bar High : 75.06 100-bar Low : 68.56 100-bar Change: -5.76% NOTE ON SCORING --------------- Scoring thresholds scaled for oil price range ($70 asset). "Within range" = within $1.00 of indicator (equivalent to the 0.25% proximity used for gold). Scores reflect available data -- no VWAP, PDH/PDL or PWH/PWL returned from chart. HOW SCORES ARE CALCULATED -------------------------- Each level scored on technical confluence: + Within $1 of MA/EMA +15-20% + Within $1 of VWAP +15% + Within $1 of PDH / PDL +15% + Within $1 of PWH / PWL +15% + Within $1 of POC +15% + Round number (X0 or X5 major level) +5% + Near 100-bar High / Low +10% + Strong recent swing High / Low +10% Base score 30% ================================================================ BUY LEVELS (GREEN) -- 7 levels marked on chart ================================================================ --------------------------------------------------------------- BUY @ 70.64 SUCCESS RATE: 50% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: +0.39 Analysis: Sits just above current price with MA2 (70.23) only 0.41 pts below and MA1 (69.75) only 0.89 pts below. This level is sandwiched between two MAs acting as a floor. A hold above 70.23 (MA2) confirms this as a valid long entry zone. Watch for a close above 70.64 with the MAs providing support. Verdict: MODERATE -- nearest buy trigger with MA cluster below. --------------------------------------------------------------- BUY @ 71.25 SUCCESS RATE: 30% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: +1.00 Analysis: No indicator aligns within $1.00 at this level. Acts as a pure price memory level. Would need MA2 support to hold and a clean push through 70.64 first. Low technical basis on its own. Verdict: SPECULATIVE -- no confluence, price memory only. --------------------------------------------------------------- BUY @ 71.85 SUCCESS RATE: 30% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: +1.60 Analysis: No indicator alignment. Part of a cluster of user levels between 71.25 and 73.00 -- these may represent a prior consolidation range. Only relevant as a continuation target after 71.25 is cleared. Verdict: SPECULATIVE -- no independent confluence. --------------------------------------------------------------- BUY @ 72.10 SUCCESS RATE: 30% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: +1.85 Analysis: No indicator within range. Another level in the 71.25-73 cluster. Would only be reached in a clean trending move upward. Limited justification as a standalone entry. Verdict: SPECULATIVE -- use as a target, not an entry. --------------------------------------------------------------- BUY @ 73.00 SUCCESS RATE: 35% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: +2.75 Analysis: Round psychological number at $73. No MA or EMA directly here but $73 is a common magnet level in crude oil. If price breaks the 71.25-72.10 cluster cleanly, $73 is the next natural magnet. The round number adds marginal weighting. Verdict: WEAK -- psychological level only. --------------------------------------------------------------- BUY @ 75.25 SUCCESS RATE: 55% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: +5.00 Analysis: Good confluence with two factors: the 100-bar High sits at 75.06 (only 0.19 pts below this level) and the EMA is at 74.48 (0.77 pts below). Both provide a cluster just beneath 75.25. A break and close above 75.06 (100-bar High) would validate this level as the next target. Key resistance zone that if broken flips bullish for the medium term. Verdict: MODERATE -- 100-bar High + EMA form a ceiling here. --------------------------------------------------------------- BUY @ 79.00 SUCCESS RATE: 55% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: +8.75 Analysis: Best technical confluence in the buy list. MA4 sits at 79.51 -- only 0.51 pts above -- making 79.00 the approach level to the MA4 long-term average. Round number $79 adds psychological weight. This would only be reached in a strong bullish reversal or news-driven spike. If oil reclaims MA4, the trend bias flips meaningfully bullish. Verdict: MODERATE -- MA4 confluence makes this the strongest buy target if oil reverses higher. ================================================================ SELL LEVELS (RED) -- 8 levels marked on chart ================================================================ --------------------------------------------------------------- SELL @ 69.90 SUCCESS RATE: 50% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: -0.35 Analysis: Extremely close to current price. MA1 sits at 69.75 (only 0.15 pts below this level) and MA2 at 70.23 is just 0.33 pts above. This level is essentially inside the MA cluster -- meaning it is at the core of the decision zone right now. A break below 69.90 puts oil below MA1, which is a bearish signal. Very short-term trigger level. Verdict: MODERATE -- but too close to price, minimal margin. --------------------------------------------------------------- SELL @ 69.30 SUCCESS RATE: 50% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: -0.95 Analysis: MA1 at 69.75 sits 0.45 pts above this level. A break of MA1 (69.75) and continuation below 69.30 would be a clean two-step bearish confirmation. Good structure -- wait for MA1 to break, then 69.30 becomes the continuation sell. Practical and well-placed relative to the MA cluster. Verdict: MODERATE -- best near-term sell trigger after MA1 break. --------------------------------------------------------------- SELL @ 68.65 SUCCESS RATE: 50% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: -1.60 Analysis: Excellent alignment with the 100-bar Low at 68.56 (only 0.09 pts below). This level is essentially the 100-bar range low. A break below 68.65 means oil has taken out its 100-bar low -- a significant bearish structural break. Strong recent price memory at this swing low adds further weighting. Verdict: MODERATE -- 100-bar Low + swing low = key breakdown level. --------------------------------------------------------------- SELL @ 65.50 SUCCESS RATE: 35% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: -4.75 Analysis: No indicator alignment within range. The .50 gives it mild psychological relevance. Would only be reached after a confirmed break of the 68.56 range low. Acts as a medium- term downside target in a bearish scenario. Verdict: WEAK -- use as a target after 68.65 breaks, not an entry. --------------------------------------------------------------- SELL ZONE @ 63.60 - 63.80 SUCCESS RATE: 30% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: -6.45 to -6.65 Analysis: No specific indicator confluence in this zone. Likely a prior support area from the user's memory of the chart. Only reached in a sustained bearish move well below all current indicators. Speculative at this distance from price. Verdict: SPECULATIVE -- deep target only in a trending bear move. --------------------------------------------------------------- SELL @ 63.00 SUCCESS RATE: 35% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: -7.25 Analysis: Round number at $63 adds mild psychological weight. No MA or EMA directly at this level. Would represent a major multi-week decline from current prices. Only relevant as a deep breakdown target, not a near-term entry. Verdict: WEAK -- round number only, far from current structure. --------------------------------------------------------------- SELL @ 62.20 SUCCESS RATE: 30% --------------------------------------------------------------- Distance from price: -8.05 Analysis: No indicator alignment. Deepest sell level on the chart -- would require an extreme bearish catalyst. No meaningful technical confluence to assign additional weighting beyond base probability. Verdict: SPECULATIVE -- no basis at current market structure. ================================================================ SUMMARY RANKING ================================================================ TOP 3 LEVELS TO WATCH THIS WEEK: 1. SELL 69.30 | 50% MODERATE -- MA1 break continuation 2. BUY 75.25 | 55% MODERATE -- 100-bar High + EMA cluster 3. BUY 79.00 | 55% MODERATE -- MA4 long-term resistance BUY LEVELS -- Ranked high to low: 79.00 55% *** MA4 confluence 75.25 55% *** 100-bar High + EMA 70.64 50% ** MA cluster below 73.00 35% * Round number only 71.25 30% * Speculative 71.85 30% * Speculative 72.10 30% * Speculative SELL LEVELS -- Ranked high to low: 69.90 50% ** MA1 cluster (too tight) 69.30 50% ** Best near-term sell after MA1 break 68.65 50% ** 100-bar Low + swing low 65.50 35% * Deep target 63.00 35% * Round number 63.60-63.80 30% * Speculative zone 62.20 30% * Speculative Star ratings: *****=85%+ ****=70-84% ***=55-69% **=45-54% *=below 45% ================================================================ OVERALL BIAS: BEARISH Price at MA2 (70.23) -- at equilibrium, but below EMA (74.48) and well below MA4 (79.51). 100-bar trend: -5.76%. Most Important Level This Week: 69.30 (SELL) -- a break of MA1 (69.75) and 69.30 confirms the bearish leg toward 68.65 (100-bar Low). To the upside, 75.06-75.25 (100-bar High + EMA) is the key resistance to watch for any bullish reversal. ==========================================