Daily analysis and reaction locations [2026.06.29]

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Daily analysis and reaction locations [2026.06.29]E-mini S&P 500 FuturesCME_MINI:ES1!pavlusrockulusPrice is approaching the swing low, and next week has the potential to confirm whether the market is looking for a full pullback toward the market value zone. The structure is currently pointing toward this thesis, with the swing low remaining the only barrier standing in the way of continuation lower. The swing range volume is also currently supporting the internal supply as a level for continuation. That said, there's still a value-based reaction zone in play, with an algorithmic target zone sitting inside it. I'll be watching for potential reactions at the untouched value sitting just below the internal low. A reaction there could provide a liquidation event and drive price back up toward the internal supply. Open the chart or zoom out on the preview to see all zones. Trade Idea 1 — Untouched Value Reaction: Once the internal low is violated, I'll be looking for some reaction and confirmation at the untouched value to join the move back up. My target is the volume POC of the swing range, and potentially Friday's high. If price shows a strong move, I'll extend my final target to the internal supply, since that's where I'll be looking for my primary entry back down toward the swing demand. Risk reference for this idea is dynamic, based on how the confirmation at the untouched value develops. Trade Idea 2 — Internal Supply: My primary idea remains an entry down from the internal supply, targeting the swing demand. Risk reference is the internal high. If price breaks the swing low without reaching higher and doesn't present a good entry, I'll stay out for the Monday session and re-evaluate for Tuesday. Shared for educational purposes only — not financial advice.