Crude Oil - Analysis & What I'm Looking For (Neutral)BRENT CRUDE OILTVC:UKOILJSR44Brent has reclaimed $100 and is heading for another test of the 107–110 resistance zone (4H) Analysis Brent is up roughly 3% on the day after reports that the White House asked the Pentagon for Iran strike options usable before the Nov 3 midterms. That comes on top of a rising attack rate in the strait: UKMTO has logged 9 attacks in October so far, against 18 in all of September, while talks remain stalled. Notably, Hormuz crude flows had recovered to roughly prewar levels by late September (Kpler 7-day avg: 13.5M bpd), thanks to US escorts, ship-to-ship transfers, and pipeline rerouting. That recovery is now slipping, with crude flows down ~27% week over week as attacks pick up. Exporters have adapted, but the workaround runs through storage, shipping, and refineries that remain exposed if conflict resumes. Technically, Brent spent several sessions capped near 103 above the 97.5–100.09 support zone before breaking out to ~105.9. The move stalled below resistance, and the rejection candle printed the heaviest volume of the run. Price pulled back to retest 103, where buyers have held so far, and is now trading around 104. What I’m looking for Headlines can force price in either direction, but the technicals set the map. I want the 103 retest to hold on a 4H close, with the old range ceiling turning into support to confirm the breakout. A 4H close above ~106 opens a test of the 107–110 resistance zone. A 4H close back below 103 traps the breakout and puts the 97.5–100.09 support zone back in play. Strategy Bears have the edge at resistance as long as flows hold and strike reports do not escalate. Bulls have the edge during stable but unresolved periods, when any escalation can reprice quickly. I’m watching for acceptance above 107 for continuation. A 4H close below 100 invalidates the bullish read. *Educational only not Financial Advice* Follow for more Crude Oil Ideas