Samsung profit tops 100 trillion won for first time, but shares slip

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Samsung's result confirms that AI-driven memory demand remains intact, which supports the case for SK Hynix and Micron, but the muted share reaction shows how much good news is already priced into the sector. With memory price increases slowing and a stronger won eroding the value of overseas earnings, investors are likely to focus less on headline records and more on pricing and high-bandwidth memory momentum when divisional results come later this month. As one of the heaviest weights in South Korea's Kospi, Samsung's performance after the beat will shape local equity sentiment and foreign flows. Weakness in its consumer businesses also highlights how narrowly the gains are concentrated in chips.--Samsung just earned more in one quarter than in the past four years combined, and the market's response was a shrug, which says everything about expectations in the AI trade.Summary:Samsung Electronics estimated third-quarter operating profit at about 107 trillion won (around $80 billion), up about 782% from a year earlier and its first quarter above 100 trillion wonThe figure topped the LSEG SmartEstimate of about 106 trillion won; revenue rose nearly 127% to about 195 trillion wonIt is Samsung's fourth consecutive record quarter and a first for any South Korean companyShares fell 0.7% on Thursday morning as some investors had looked for moreIndustry estimates suggest the chip division generated almost all the profit, while the consumer electronics and mobile division ran a loss of about 2 trillion wonDetailed results, including divisional figures, are due later in OctoberSamsung Electronics estimated its third-quarter operating profit at about 107 trillion won, or around $80 billion, on Thursday. It is the first time a South Korean company has earned more than 100 trillion won in a single quarter, as booming demand for artificial intelligence lifted its memory chip business.The preliminary figure was up about 782% from roughly 12 trillion won a year earlier and slightly ahead of the LSEG SmartEstimate of about 106 trillion won. Revenue rose nearly 127% to around 195 trillion won. It was Samsung's fourth consecutive quarter of record operating profit, after the roughly 89.5 trillion won it reported for the second quarter.The scale of the jump is striking. Samsung's profit for this single quarter is close to two and a half times its operating profit for the whole of last year, about 44 trillion won, and close to its combined operating profit over the four years from 2022 to 2025. Its cumulative operating profit for the first three quarters of 2026 stands at about 254 trillion won.Investors were less enthusiastic than the headline suggested. Samsung shares fell 0.7% on Thursday morning. One analyst said a record profit that still fell short of some expectations showed how demanding the AI trade has become. Analysts had trimmed forecasts by about 8% since late August, as the pace of memory chip price increases slowed and a stronger won reduced the value of overseas sales.Samsung did not provide a divisional breakdown, but industry estimates suggest the semiconductor division generated operating profit similar to, or slightly above, the company-wide figure. That implies a loss elsewhere: the consumer electronics and mobile division is estimated to have lost about 2 trillion won, with mobile and networks losses alone put at more than 1.5 trillion won.Expectations for the coming quarters remain high. The market expects operating profit to stay above 100 trillion won in the fourth quarter, which would take the annual total to around 375 trillion won. Forecasts for next year cluster around 550 trillion won, and one Korean brokerage has lifted its estimate to more than 630 trillion won. Samsung's full results later this month, followed by SK Hynix's in late October, will show whether chip pricing and high-bandwidth memory demand can keep pace with those forecasts.  This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.