XAUUSD — 4,180 Support Decides the Recovery

Wait 5 sec.

XAUUSD — 4,180 Support Decides the Recovery GoldOANDA:XAUUSDFelix_MacroTrade Gold is showing a stronger recovery attempt, but the market is now moving into the most important confirmation phase. From the SMC view, price recently swept below the previous low around 4,100 - 4,110, then reacted strongly from the Major Defensive Demand. That reaction is important because sellers failed to continue lower after taking liquidity. After the sweep, gold created a cleaner bullish recovery leg and pushed back above the short-term structure. The second key point is the trendline shift. Price has moved away from the previous bearish trendline pressure, which means the market is no longer falling in a clean bearish channel. However, this does not mean the full trend has turned bullish yet. It only tells us buyers are trying to build a recovery structure. The Fibonacci map is now the main guide. Current price is trading around 4,200 - 4,205, while the important support is the Main Fibonacci Support around 4,180 - 4,190. As long as gold holds above this zone, the recovery remains valid. Above current price, the next important area is the FVG / main reaction zone around 4,230 - 4,240. This is the first strong test for buyers. If gold breaks and holds above this FVG, the recovery can extend toward the higher supply target around 4,300 - 4,310. But this upper area is not a guaranteed breakout zone. The 4,300 - 4,320 region is still a higher-timeframe supply area, so sellers may react strongly if price reaches it. That means the best approach is to watch how price behaves at each level, not chase the move blindly. If gold fails to hold above 4,180 - 4,190, the recovery becomes weaker. In that case, price may pull back toward 4,160 - 4,147, and if selling pressure expands, the market can retest the major defensive demand around 4,100 - 4,110 again. Key Price Zones to Watch Current price area: 4,200 - 4,205 Main Fibonacci support: 4,180 - 4,190 Short-term risk zone: 4,160 - 4,147 Major defensive demand: 4,100 - 4,110 FVG / main reaction zone: 4,230 - 4,240 First upside extension: 4,260 - 4,280 Higher supply target: 4,300 - 4,320 Extended upside target: 4,380 - 4,386 - Bullish confirmation: clean break and hold above 4,230 - 4,240 Bearish risk: clean loss of 4,180 - 4,190 Main view: Gold is recovering after a liquidity sweep from the lower demand area. The recovery remains valid while price holds above 4,180 - 4,190. If buyers defend this Fibonacci support, gold may continue toward 4,230 - 4,240, then 4,300 - 4,320. If this support fails, the market may return to retest lower demand before choosing the next direction. Do you think gold can hold 4,180 and continue toward 4,300, or will sellers reject this recovery from the FVG zone first?