Bitcoin (BTC): Bear Market vs Retrace vs Godzilla

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Bitcoin (BTC): Bear Market vs Retrace vs GodzillaBitcoin / TetherUSBINANCE:BTCUSDTMasterAnandaInstead of saying; "Additional growth is possible," it is better to say, "additional growth is unavoidable." Mid-March Bitcoin closed two red weeks followed by six weeks of bullish action. Back then Bitcoin was bearish and trading at the bottom. The lowest point after the $60,000 crash was hit, $62,510, and this led to the first green candle since mid-January. So it is a transformation. First it was all red. Let's define red as blood to be a bit dramatic. All red but in March we had a pause, a much needed one. Early March Bitcoin turns green but then red again. Now here is the transformation; 100% red then it turns little green, some more red and then sustained green, lots of bullish action and a full recovery completed. Now when Bitcoin is trading low, it is doing so above major long-term support. And we get two red weeks after six weeks of growth. Normal isn't it? Expected right? Natural... Ok! And this is the beautiful part. Now the two red weeks, or three, turn green again and what happens? The green gets extended and we get plenty of green vs the fact that just months ago it was all red. That's the transformation, from bearish to bullish. This is one scenario and it is based on a bullish resumption right away, additional growth. This is supported by things that are going to be happening with the Fed, finance, politics and so on. This cannot be avoided but let's consider more just in case. The other scenario is the standard one but standard is boring and nobody wants to write about or predict the same. Nobody wants to repeat, over and over, that what will happen is a repeat of 202... Any number, the past. The past is so past... It is already gone. But, if we consider the past, Bitcoin can go sideways for months. I just believe that things are already different now, why would a certain portion of the past repeat just to please me, when it has been changing all along. Ok, in short; Bitcoin is going up. We are witnessing a small retrace, a cool-off period. Let it take as long it needs, it doesn't matter, what matters is the end result. Let's argue a little bit. For a lower low, we have to assume that the entire rounded bottom recovery was a relief rally and this relief rally ended and this leads to a bearish impulse thus a new low compared to 6-Feb, that is, Bitcoin trading below 60K. Alright, I get it. Now, look at the difference of the actual relief rally between November 2025 and January 2026. Can you see it? The action is very weak. There is no period of sustained growth and there is no closure above any resistance level; a relief rally? No, bearish consolidation and it ended with a crash. The move we saw recently, the one that is being consolidated through a retrace, is very different to the pause in-between the down-wave. And this is what reveals that a lower low is not possible. If sellers couldn't close below $64,900 in more than two months, with the action happening below 70K; they won't be able to break an even stronger support level coming from $83,000. All those buyers that were ready and eager to buy around $65,000, will show up en masse again if Bitcoin moves below 70K. This would be the opportunity of a lifetime and traders are just too smart, it would be available only for a few hours or days. I am bullish on Bitcoin, what about you? A new bear market or a simple classic normal expected and natural retrace? Just let me know, that's why we have the comments section below. It is for you to share your thoughts. Namaste.