EURUSD long term short ideaEuro / U.S. DollarFOREXCOM:EURUSDFranck_Ilunga EURUSD Precision Institutional Delivery & The Path to Macro Targets Overview: This post serves as a comprehensive update to the structural roadmap established in late April. Price action has delivered a textbook validation of HTF order flow, liquidity pools, and specific time-of-day constraints. Technical Timeline & Key Triggers: April 26–27 (The 1.1755 Constraint): Identified 1.1755 as the specific structural threshold governing a transition into a consolidation phase. On Monday, April 27, at 8:00 AM NY time, the daily high printed precisely at 1.1755 before expanding downward to hit internal sell-side liquidity at 1.1664with LOD 1.1661 by Wednesday afternoon. May 1 (Partial Conviction): A late-week short-covering rally expanded past 1.1755 during the 8:00 AM NY window, peaking at 1.1780. However, the weekly candle failed to sustain the close above the level, settling near 1.172 leaving the macro consolidation unconfirmed for me. May 6 (Consolidation Triggered): Following a successful bullish expansion on May 5, Wednesday, May 6 finalized a decisive HTF close at the 1.1750 closest to 1.1755 level. This triggered a highly accurate, 7-day consolidation regime bounded tightly between 1.1780 (Premium) and 1.1725 (Discount) just like I expected. The Distribution Phase: May 13 (The Expansion): At the 2:00 AM NY session (London Open), the consolidation range was breached. Price delivered heavily to the downside over the next 48 hours, clearing and settling below the key 1.1643 level by the weekly close. May 18–22 (Resistance & Compression): Monday of this week provided a clean retest of 1.1643, which held firmly as institutional resistance. Order flow subsequently drove price to establish a new monthly low at 1.1585. The hourly charts compressed for the remainder of the week, repeatedly failing to breach local structural levels, leading to a weekly settlement at the 1.1600 even handle. Macro Outlook: The framework remains entirely mechanical. Because internal sell-side targets and premium-to-discount delivery windows have been perfectly executed, my long-term bias is heavily short. The primary draw-on-liquidity is the macro target clearly visible on the chart at 1.1392. Monitoring the early-week opening ranges for potential premium retracements before looking for continuation setups toward my macro objective. No one is doing it like this, I am thankful for you who support! follow for more.