NTNX is a long-bias setup into earnings

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NTNX is a long-bias setup into earningsNutanix, Inc. Class ABATS:NTNXKhanhC.HoangNTNX is a long-bias setup into earnings, but only if it can hold the upper-$40s after the May 27 print; otherwise the cleaner trade is a post-event failure setup back toward the low-$40s. The tape looks more like re-accumulation than fresh distribution, but elevated event IV argues for defined-risk verticals rather than naked premium. Market Context May 25, 2026: NTNX is trading around $47.1-$47.5 based on the latest cited tape, with recent closes at $47.12 and $47.53. Higher timeframe trend is still below the prior 52-week high near $82.4, but momentum has repaired sharply, with shares up 15.7% over the last month into earnings. Support is $46-$47 first, then $36.26 and $34.75; resistance is $50 first, then $58-$60, with much larger overhead supply near the old $82 area. Wyckoff Analysis Current read is late Accumulation / early Mark-Up, specifically a re-accumulation structure after the April shakeout. The break to about $34.75 after the JPMorgan downgrade reads like a spring, while the AMD partnership, the $150 million equity investment at $36.26, and the recovery back to the high-$40s suggest sponsorship and absorption rather than fresh distribution. Most probable next move is an earnings-driven test of the upper range and then $50-$55 on a clean report; weak guidance likely rotates price back toward the low-$40s and possibly the mid-$30s sponsor zone.