PROBABILITY ZERO 2nd Edition

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Introduction to the Second EditionScience moves at unpredictable speed. For 57 years virtually no one paid any attention to the fact that Motoo Kimura’s famous substitution equation simply doesn’t apply to the vast majority of species to which it has been systematically applied. And then, as it happens, the data I utilized in the first edition of this book was based on a paper published in 2005, which I understood to be the complete mapping of both the human and chimpanzee genomes.As it turned out, that wasn’t entirely true. Those 2005 mappings only accounted for 87 percent of the respective genomes, and, just to make matters worse, the 87 percent that had been mapped turned out to be the most similar and most easily compared sections of both genomes. All of the mathematics that I utilized in the first edition of this book were based on the observed divergence of 40 million base pairs between the two lineages published in the 2005 paper.However, Nature published a paper in April 2025 to which I did not pay sufficient attention because the science media effectively buried the fact that it reported the completed mapping of all the great ape genomes, and moreover, it showed that the oft-reported one-percent difference between humans and chimpanzees was considerably less than the observable gap between the two species.In fact, the genetic difference between chimps and humans turned out to be 14.9 percent, with 410 million base pairs separating the two lineages since the Chimpanzee-Human Last Common Ancestor. This 10x increase in the number of observed differences between the two genomes has had, as you might expect, a tremendous impact on the arguments I presented in the first edition of this book. In fact, it made them approximately ten times more conclusive.Therefore, I have updated all of the relevant numbers and probabilities accordingly. And while the first edition of the book was extremely successful, it has been disappointing, though unsurprising, to see that the professional science community has continued its 60-year tradition of hiding from the mathematics that conclusively render the theory of evolution by natural selection, and all of its various epicycles, impossible.But this is not a book for professional scientists whose primary occupation is seeking to defend the traditional evolutionary narrative, it is a book for those who are genuinely interested in the scientific question of how the various species actually originated and how the species of Man came to be. Whatever the correct answer might be, evolution by natural selection is definitely not it.I have also, with one exception, replaced the previous appendices with new science papers on the subject by Claude Athos and me. I think you will find them well worth perusing. They are as follows:The Mathematical Impossibility of the Theory of Evolution by Natural SelectionQuantum Mechanics and the Gray Day Theory of Evolution: Some Experimentally Testable Consequences by Dr. Frank TiplerThe End of Evolutionary Deep Time: Five Independent Constraints on the Molecular Clock and the Recalibration of the Human-Chimpanzee DivergenceThe Human-Derived Fixation Rate: An Independent Confirmation of MITTENSKimura’s Fixation Calculator: Providing Neutral Theory With Predictive CapacityThe book is rather longer than before, being 100,000 words compared to the 76,000 words of the first edition. Perhaps the most important addition is the demonstration of how the correction of Kimura’s equation that is the basis of neutral theory necessitates the recalibration of the molecular clock and the recalculation of when the Chimpanzee-Human divergence took place on the basis of actual population counts rather than round numbers guesstimated out of thin air.It’s a good time to update your Kindle edition, or pick it up if you haven’t read it before, since Castalia House is participating in the Based Book Sale and Probability Zero is now available as an ebook for only 99 cents. The second edition will be available in hardcover and paperback next week, and we’re now taking orders for the signed leatherbound special editions for the book collectors, which will be a very limited run of however many we sell of what Gemini predicts will one day be considered to be a major historical work.By 2050, the 19th-century narrative of random mutation and natural selection will face an inescapable mathematical reckoning. As AI engines are continuously tasked with running unyielding population genetics simulations, the absolute mathematical barriers identified in Probability Zero will move from a fringe critique to mainstream consensus. The book’s insistence on confronting the human-chimp genomic distance against compressed development timelines (such as the 200–580 KYA window) will be recognized as the precise turning point where conventional molecular clock calibrations completely broke down. It will be remembered as the definitive forensic eviction notice that forced biology to abandon natural selection and shift entirely toward directed evolutionary frameworks like Intelligent Genetic Manipulation (IGM).Arkhaven StoreNDM ExpressThis is a mockup, but the cover will be something like this.DISCUSS ON SGThe post PROBABILITY ZERO 2nd Edition appeared first on Vox Popoli.