OIL: BETWEEN INSIDER TRADING, WAR, AND UNCERTAINTYWest Texas Intermediate Crude Oil cashGBEBROKERS:USOILfullpriceactionOil remains in a fragile and globally bearish structure on the higher time frames despite several technical rebound attempts. Prices continue to struggle below a major resistance zone around $107–110, while the break of the short-term bullish channel suggests that sellers still control the overall trend. Although the RSI is showing a bullish divergence that could support a temporary rebound, this signal alone is not strong enough to confirm a real bullish reversal. As long as oil remains below key resistance levels, the main technical risk continues to point toward lower price targets around $97 and potentially even $90. At the same time, the market remains extremely uncertain because of geopolitical tensions and constant news flow. Every day, headlines alternate between peace negotiations and new military escalations, creating strong volatility and unpredictable movements in oil prices. Many investors now believe that the oil market is being heavily influenced by institutional positioning, political interests, and speculation rather than pure technical analysis. The political environment in the United States, especially around Donald Trump, also adds uncertainty, with recurring controversies and accusations related to market influence and insider trading concerns. As a result, the oil market currently reacts more to headlines, rumors, and geopolitical developments than to traditional market structure, making risk management and caution essential for traders and investors.