ETH 4 closes at 2,238-2,241: 2,174 floor vs 2,322 MAEthereum / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:ETHUSDForexupgoEthereum has gone quiet. After the 4 Nov spike to 2,450 and the sharp reversal on 5 Nov, the last four daily closes sit between 2,238.01 and 2,241.49. That is a very tight pocket for a coin that is down 6.92% in 20 days. What I see • Price is 3.49% below the 21-day MA (2,322.46) and 9.81% below the 50-day MA (2,485.42). Both slope down. • The 15-day box runs from the 2,174.08 floor (30 Oct low, also the 60-day low) to the 2,450 ceiling (4 Nov high). • The 4 Nov bounce failed within one session, so the rejection at the top of the box is still fresh. • It is a weekend, so I treat the quiet with some caution. What I'm watching • Floor: a daily close under 2,174.08 would be a new 60-day low and a break of the box. • Reclaim: a daily close back above the 21 MA at 2,322.46 would be the first sign the downtrend is easing. • Middle: while ETH stays between 2,174.08 and 2,322.46, my rules-based read is simply range, no trend. Calendar/risk: nothing scheduled in my data for the next 48h. Quiet crypto can still move fast when a level goes. Which breaks first: the 2,174.08 floor or the 21 MA at 2,322.46? Not financial advice.