A major red flag is looming for Bitcoin.

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A major red flag is looming for Bitcoin.Bitcoin / US DollarCOINBASE:BTCUSDVili_Wealth_PlanData shows that nearly $2 billion worth of short-term gamma option positions in Bitcoin are concentrated around the $82,000 strike price, according to a Bitfinex report. As Bitcoin trades in this area, it could "squeeze" the price down to around $82,000. This gamma concentration creates a misleading market environment, and the divergence between price and institutional fund flows is a major red flag. Despite some recovery, the spot Bitcoin ETF remains problematic. A $635 million outflow was recorded on May 13th, marking the largest single-day sell-off since January. Currently, the "cost base battleground" between $79,000 and $85,000 looks more like a transition zone than a ceiling. Bitcoin's price is expected to rise to the $82,000 to $84,000 range before entering a "neutralization period." Meanwhile, unless there is a fundamental shift in the geopolitical landscape, Bitcoin is unlikely to break new highs. The current market structure resembles a "partial surrender." Until the market can absorb the daily realized losses of $479 million and regain institutional confidence, the $85,000 price level remains a key "fair value battleground" in this cycle. BTCUSD BTCUSD BTCUSD BTCUSD