Oil prices jump after a US official says Washington is planning for a wider war with Iran

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FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Oil prices rallied on Friday as traders hedged into the weekend risk amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. Both sides continue to exchange strikes, but the catalyst for the latest surge was a Washington Post report, citing a US official, saying that the US is planning for a wider war and that the Pentagon is increasing the number of military aircraft in the Middle East. We’ve seen this kind of military buildup back in February before the US-Iran war broke out, so the risk in the short-term remains elevated and this is going to keep oil prices underpinned. Without a clear de-escalation the downside will remain limited. CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that crude oil finally broke out of the recent consolidation at the 78.00 support and it’s now approaching the major downward trendline around the 87.00 handle. If the price gets there, we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the trendline to position for a drop back into the 78.00 support. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish bets into the 97.00 handle next.CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we have an upward trendline defining the bullish momentum. If we get a pullback, we can expect the buyers to lean on the trendline with a defined risk below it to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to extend the pullback into the 78.00 support next.CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have another minor upward trendline defining the bullish momentum on this timeframe. The buyers will likely continue to lean on the trendline to keep targeting new highs, while the sellers will look for a break to extend the pullback into the next trendline. The red lines define the average daily range for today. UPCOMING CATALYSTSOn Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures, while on Friday we conclude the week with the Flash US PMIs. The focus remains on US-Iran headlines. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.