Global oil market to return to surplus in Q4 2026, larger supply build expected in 2027: IEA

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According to the International Energy Agency, the global oil market is set to rebalance by late 2026. Global oil production is expected to recover faster than demand, resulting in a surplus. The demand for oil is projected to decline by 2.7 million barrels per day in 2026. Despite easing crude prices, tight supplies of refined products continue to challenge energy markets.