Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips – 15/11/2026

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UEFA Nations League Belgium 15 Nov 2026 19:45 Italy Prediction: Belgium to win 2.20 View Odds > Pick your prediction BelgiumDraw Italy Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips – 15/11/2026 15 Nov 2026 Louis HecqBelgium welcome Italy to a venue yet to be confirmed on 15 November 2026 in a decisive UEFA Nations League League A Group 1 fixture. The stakes could hardly be higher. Italy sit second on seven points, just one ahead of their hosts, while France lead the section on ten. A draw would suit the Azzurri; defeat would leave Belgium's quarter-final hopes hanging by a thread. Following Belgium's 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture back in September, this rematch carries genuine needle and significance for both sides. Our prediction X2: Double Chance Draw or Italy 3.20 on Betfred · Confidence Medium Odds recorded on 13 Nov 2026 at 20:26 · Odds are subject to change Recommended Bets BetfredWilliam HillMatchbook Belgium to win2.202.102.14Under 2.5·2.051.26BTTS Yes1.571.571.61 Odds recorded on 13 Nov 2026 at 20:26 · Odds are subject to changeMatch AnalysisItaly arrive as the clear favorite at 3.20, sitting second in the Nations League group with 7 points and a superior goal difference. Spallanzani's squad is near full strength, with Donnarumma, Barella, Tonali, and Kean all available.Unbeaten in 5 of last 7 H2H meetings, Italy hold a commanding historical edge over Belgium.7 points and +3 goal difference in the current group give Italy the stronger platform heading into this decider.Dimarco and Cristante returning from injury, giving Mancini a more complete and balanced squad for a must-win match.Qualification incentive is sharp: a win secures Italy's quarter-final spot and leapfrogs Belgium in the standings.Belgium face this match severely depleted, priced at 2.20 to win on home soil. Courtois is absent from international duty, Onana is out with a ruptured ACL, Debast is injured, and key attackers Openda and Fofana are also unavailable, leaving Van Bommel with a makeshift lineup.No recognised striker in the XI after Openda and Fofana omissions gut Belgium's attacking output.Senne Lammens starts in goal in place of Courtois, a significant drop in quality between the posts.Onana's ACL absence removes Belgium's defensive midfield anchor, leaving the backline exposed to Italy's press.Key point: With both defenses under pressure and Belgium's attack badly depleted, the under 2.5 goals market at 2.10 offers a compelling alternative angle to the outright result. Form & Statistics: Belgium vs Italy Belgium Recent form LWWWD Wins3/5 (60%) Draws1/5 (20%) Losses1/5 (20%) Season statistics (5) 0Total goals 0%Both teams score 0Goals scored 0Goals conceded Italy Recent form WW Wins2/2 (100%) Draws0/2 (0%) Losses0/2 (0%) Season statistics (2) 0Total goals 0%Both teams score 0Goals scored 0Goals conceded Probable lineup Lineups: Belgium vs Italy Belgium4-3-3Starters1 Senne Lammens2 Timothy Castagne3 Brandon Mechele4 Nathan Ngoy5 Maxim De Cuyper6 Nicolas Raskin7 Youri Tielemans8 Kevin De Bruyne9 Mika Godts10 Diego Moreira11 Charles De KetelaereAbsentThibaut Courtois (Taking a break from international duty for the Nations League.)Zeno Debast (Leg injury, held out of action by his club.)Amadou Onana (Ruptured ACL at the World Cup in July 2026 (long-term injury).)Koni De Winter (Refused call-up due to unhappiness about being left on the bench in previous games.)Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Illness and limited training.)Malick Fofana (Left out of the squad.)Lois Openda (Left out of the squad.)Italy4-3-3Starters1 Gianluigi Donnarumma2 Giovanni Di Lorenzo3 Gianluca Mancini4 Giorgio Scalvini5 Riccardo Calafiori6 Sandro Tonali7 Alessandro Romano8 Nicolò Barella9 Nicolò Cambiaghi10 Francesco Pio Esposito11 Moise KeanAbsentManuel Locatelli (Sidelined through injury in September 2026; not included in November squad.)Federico Chiesa (Dropped from squad in March 2026 due to injury; not included in November squad.) Low confidenceBoth sides are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, setting the stage for a tactically intriguing mirror match. It is worth treating these selections with some caution, however, as both XIs remain speculated rather than confirmed, each drawn from a previous meeting between these sides and the respective November squad announcements.For Belgium, Kevin De Bruyne will be the creative fulcrum in midfield, whilst Italy will look to Nicolò Barella to drive their press and link play in what promises to be a fiercely contested central battle across both lines. Odds comparison BetfredWilliam HillMatchbookCoralLadbrokesBetVictor Belgium to win2.202.102.142.602.602.00Draw3.503.403.702.302.303.50Italy to win3.203.003.153.403.302.80Under 2.5·2.051.262.102.05·BTTS Yes1.571.571.611.601.57· Odds recorded on 13 Nov 2026 at 20:26 · Odds are subject to changeOur VerdictOur pick for this fixture is Draw or Away (X2), backing Italy to avoid defeat. The Azzurri hold a commanding head-to-head record, winning four of the last seven meetings and going unbeaten across five consecutive encounters before Belgium's September victory. Italy sit a point above their hosts in the group, and with quarter-final qualification at stake, Mancini's side will be fiercely motivated. The away price at 3.20 underlines the market's respect for Italy, while the draw at 3.50 offers further cover. Historical pedigree and current form both favour the visitors here.Competition: UEFA Nations LeagueStage: League A, 6Date: 15 Nov 2026Time: 19:45 GMTFrequently Asked QuestionsWhat is the best bet for Belgium vs Italy?The draw or away double chance looks the most compelling option here, with Italy the stronger side on paper. Belgium are severely weakened by the absences of Courtois, Onana, and Debast, while Italy boast Donnarumma, Barella, and Tonali. With the Azzurri needing a result to secure second place, backing them not to lose carries genuine appeal at 3.20.What time does Belgium vs Italy kick off?Belgium vs Italy kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 15 November 2026. The match is a UEFA Nations League League A fixture, though the precise stadium location has not been confirmed in available match data. Supporters are advised to check their local listings for any venue updates ahead of kickoff.Where can I watch Belgium vs Italy on TV?Broadcast details for Belgium vs Italy have not been confirmed in the available information. Viewers in the UK should check listings from broadcasters such as Channel 4 or Sky Sports, who typically hold rights to UEFA Nations League fixtures. Supporters outside the UK are advised to consult their local television providers for coverage details.What is Belgium's recent record against Italy?Belgium's recent record against Italy makes for sobering reading for the Red Devils. Italy were unbeaten in five successive meetings prior to Belgium's 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier in this Nations League campaign. Across the last seven head-to-head encounters, Italy have claimed four wins, underlining their historical superiority in this particular rivalry.The post Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips – 15/11/2026 appeared first on The Football Faithful.