There is no near-term supply effect. Arctic offshore projects would take many years to develop even if the ban were lifted, so this is a long-dated policy story, not a price driver. The value for traders is in the direction of travel: Ottawa is openly trying to expand energy output to offset US tariff pressure, and the 2028 expiry is now a clear decision point. Any eventual move to open the Arctic would add to the longer-term North American supply outlook, but for now the official line is that nothing has changed.---Carney says Canada’s Arctic drilling ban is not up for grabs yet, but with a 2028 expiry and an energy-first growth agenda, the question will not go away.Summary:Carney said his government has not decided whether to lift Canada’s Arctic offshore oil and gas moratoriumA Toronto Star report had said Ottawa was considering lifting the banA budget line of C$11 million (about US$8 million) over four years for Arctic offshore oversight is capacity funding for Inuit leadership, Carney saidThe moratorium dates from 2016, is reviewed every five years and expires in 2028Carney is seeking to grow Canada’s energy sector to support the economy against US tariffsCanadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Tuesday that his government has not decided whether to lift its moratorium on offshore oil and gas exploration in the Arctic, Reuters reported. His comments push back against suggestions that Ottawa is preparing to open the region to drilling.They followed a Toronto Star report on Monday, citing a Department of Finance official, that the government was considering lifting the ban. Attention had also been drawn to a line in last week’s federal budget allocating C$11 million (about US$8 million) over four years to support governance and oversight of offshore oil and gas activity in the Arctic Ocean.Speaking to reporters in Montreal, Carney described that funding as capacity support for Inuit leadership, which jointly manages natural resources in the North with the federal government. He said it was “absolutely not” a decision about the moratorium.The ban has been in place since 2016, when Canada and the United States agreed to restrict Arctic offshore exploration to protect the region’s marine ecosystem from the risk of oil spills. Washington later reopened parts of its Arctic to drilling under President Donald Trump, but Canada’s moratorium stayed in place. The policy is reviewed every five years and is due to expire in 2028.That expiry date keeps the issue alive. Canada’s Arctic holds significant undeveloped oil and gas reserves, and some Northern leaders, including Nunavut’s premier, have called for the region to be opened up to support economic self-sufficiency. Carney has also been seeking to expand Canada’s energy sector to bolster the economy in the face of US tariffs. In pursuit of growth he has eased a number of climate regulations, drawing criticism from environmental groups.For now, the government’s message is that nothing has changed. The next marker is the moratorium’s 2028 review. Any shift in policy would have to fit with both Ottawa’s push to grow energy output and its commitments to Inuit and territorial self-government. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.