Every outreach test I ran before ended the same way. I sent 20 emails, got a reply or two, and had no idea what it meant. 20 emails is not statistically significant at all. The verdict was whatever mood I was in that day. So I borrowed the XYZ idea from The Right It: "At least X% of Y will do Z." You write the bet down before you send anything. Mine: at least 5% of founders who posted that they're stuck at zero users will connect my product within 7 days of a personal message. That sets the size. 150 people, not 20. Pass is 5 or more. Fail is 2 or fewer. 3 or 4 means I reach 50 more. Y is strict. Only people who wrote in public about this exact problem. I found 991 posts like that from the last 6 months. Every message opens with their post, not my pitch. 20 a day, by hand. The first 20 emails got 4 replies within hours. 59 of 150 reached so far, so no verdict yet. I liked it enough that I built it into my product as the Bullseye Test. Go try it on Shipfound, happy to send you how to do it as well. Feel free to message to me if you want to replicate it too.   submitted by   /u/karamanbk [link]   [comments]