San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys odds, predictions and betting tips – Back the 49ers to light up the scoreboard

Wait 5 sec.

With the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams struggling to find their footing, the San Francisco 49ers have pulled away in the NFC West, possessing a two game lead for first in the division standings.Even with both sides of the ball dealing with an abundance of injuries, the 49ers have been able to brush aside regression while stringing together their wins.The Dallas Cowboys, meanwhile, are on the outside looking in for the playoffs, sitting two games back from the Green Bay Packers for the last wildcard spot in the NFC. With the defense incapable of keeping their opponents out of the red zone, the Cowboys are forced to play in highly volatile contests, lowering their probability of winning. San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys best betsSan Francisco 49ers -4: -110 with CaesarsChristian McCaffrey Over 62.5 Rushing Yards: -115 with BetMGMDak Prescott Under 24.5 Pass Completions: -130 with FanDuelSince the start of the regular season, Brock Purdy has been able to play at a high level, leading the position in QB EPA per play and in Success Rate while averaging 8.3 Air Yards per throw. The protection Purdy has received from his offensive line has played a major role in his hot start to the year, operating behind a group that ranks first in True Pass Set Grade.In a favorable matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, Purdy will be able to strengthen his claim for the MVP award by shredding a secondary that resides near the bottom of the board in Coverage Grade. With Dallas struggling to keep a body on the 49ers pass catchers hips, Purdy will continue to generate explosive plays at a consistent rate while setting a scoring pace too fast for the Cowboys to keep up with.With Purdy stretching out the defense, Christian McCaffrey will have a great opportunity to hit the ground running by taking advantage of the extra space in the middle. With fewer bodies at the second level, McCaffrey will rattle off a higher volume of Yards Before Contact, clearing the over on his Rushing Yardage prop in the process.On the other side of the field, negative regression is looming large over Dak Prescott while he faces off against a Niners defense that ranks in the top-10 in DVOA. With less time in the pocket to operate, the quality of Prescott’s throws will harshly decline, making it difficult to connect with his pass catchers for the full duration of the contest. San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys previewEven with Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr. dealing with injuries, Purdy has been able to keep the 49ers offense afloat by stretching out the coverage with his arm. In the rare instance Purdy is flushed out of the pocket, he has been able to extend plays with his legs, averaging more than five yards per carry.Purdy’s dual threat ability will apply pressure on the Cowboys linebackers, forcing them to spy near the line of scrimmage, which will create more space for the 49ers pass catchers to exploit. If the Cowboys decide to anchor their second level across the middle, then the front seven will be vulnerable to getting gashed by Purdy’s legs when he takes off and runs.While Purdy lights up the scoreboard, Prescott will be forced to be more aggressive with his throws in an attempt to match San Francisco’s output, increasing the amount of havoc in his passes. Especially with the 49ers secondary excelling in coverage, fielding a back end that ranks sixth in Dropback EPA Allowed per play.The 49ers front seven have also been able to stuff the run at a higher rate after a slow start to the season, giving the defense the production it needs to be a well rounded unit. With no clear path for success, the Cowboys will fall quickly behind, leading to a lopsided affair. San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys betting tipsBarring a sudden turnaround, Purdy will be able to pick apart the Cowboys gaps in coverage and get into scoring position at a high rate. San Francisco 49ers -4Even after retooling the defense in the offseason, the Cowboys have still underperformed, limping into Week 10 ranked 32nd in EPA Allowed per play while hovering in the bottom three in Pressure Rate. With the defensive line struggling to collapse the pocket, opposing pass catchers are given extra time in the open field to go through their routes, creating larger gaps in the Cowboys coverage.Against San Francisco, Purdy will be allowed to go through his progressions while his offensive line wards off the Cowboys interior pressure, making it easier for him to take care of the ball to help stay ahead of the sticks. Bet the 49ers to cover the spread at -4 with intentions of adding more to your position should the number tick down to -3. Back the 49ers to cover the -4 spread at -110 with Caesars Christian McCaffrey Over 62.5 Rushing YardsEven though McCaffrey has been able to stuff the stat sheet, the 49ers star running back has shockingly been inefficient with his carries, ranking below league average for the position in Percentage of Carries Exceeding Expected Yards. A surprisingly low level of play from McCaffrey, especially when running behind an offensive line that ranks second in Run Block Grade per PFF.Fortunately for McCaffrey, he will be able to round back into dominant form against the Cowboys by attacking a front seven that ranks near dead last in Def Rush Success Rate. For some more exposure, escalator bet McCaffrey’s Rushing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks. Place a wager on Christian McCaffrey to rush for more than 62.5 yards at -115 with BetMGM Dak Prescott Under 24.5 Pass CompletionsWhen healthy, Prescott has been one of the more productive QBs in the league, ranking in the top half of the board in QB EPA per play and in Big Time Throw Percentage. With Prescott under center, the Cowboys QB has been able to keep the team competitive, leading an offense that ranks sixth in DVOA.In a daunting matchup against the 49ers, Prescott will struggle to recapture the same success he had earlier in the year while trying to weave the ball through a secondary that ranks in the top-12 in Def Pass Success Rate while creating disruptions at a high rate. With the 49ers capable of collapsing the pocket with just their defensive line, their linebackers will be able to drop back in coverage, narrowing Prescott’s passing lanes. Bet Dak Prescott to complete fewer than 24.5 of his passes at -130 with FanDuel San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys injury reportBelow is an updated injury report for the 49ers and Cowboys heading into Sunday. San Francisco 49ersOut: N/AQuestionable: Mike Evans (WR), Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR), Renardo Green (CB), Deommodore Lenoir (CB), Upton Stout (NB)  Doubtful: N/A Dallas CowboysOut: Jake Ferguson (TE), P.J. Locke (S)Questionable: George Pickens (WR), Donovan Ezeiruaku (LB), Joey Porter Jr. (CB)Doubtful: N/AIf Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr. are unable to suit up, Purdy will need to lean heavier on his backups, making their status worth monitoring. San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys game infoDate: Sunday, November 15thTime: 4:25pm ESTVenue: AT&T Stadium – Arlington, TexasWhere to watch: FOXAbout the authorKody MalstromKody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.Commercial content notice: Taking one of the sportsbooks offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 21+. T&Cs apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GamblerResponsible gambling Remember to gamble responsiblyA responsible gambler is someone who:Establishes time and monetary limits before playingOnly gambles with money they can afford to loseNever chase their lossesDoesn’t gamble if they’re upset, angry, or depressedNational Council on Problem Gambling – https://www.ncpgambling.org/For help with a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline on 1-800-522-4700 or go to ncpgambling.org/chat