BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERS FROM 4,100, BUT SELL POC STILL GoldOANDA:XAUUSDBrianLionCapitalBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERS FROM 4,100, BUT SELL POC STILL CONTROLS THE AUCTION Gold is trying to recover from the lower value area, but the bigger picture is still not clean bullish yet. After reacting from the 4,100 region, price pushed back above 4,150 during the European session. The move came as the US Dollar paused after its recent strong rally, while lower expectations for an October Fed hike gave gold some short-term support. But this is still only a recovery attempt. From a Volume Profile view, gold is trading below the main seller value area. The market has bounced from the lows, but buyers have not reclaimed the Sell POC yet. As long as price remains below the upper value zones, sellers can still use every rebound as a reaction point. Technical structure – Volume Profile view On the H1 chart, gold is currently trading around 4,150 - 4,160 after bouncing from the lower base near 4,100. The first key area is the current lower value zone around 4,130 - 4,150. Price has reacted from this area, showing that short-term buyers are active. However, the recovery is still limited below 4,170 - 4,230. The next important level is 4,170. If gold can hold above the current value area and break 4,170, price may extend toward the Gold region reaction around 4,229. That 4,229 area is very important. It is the first real reaction zone where sellers may appear again. If gold rejects there, the market can rotate back toward the lower value area. The stronger resistance remains the Sell POC around 4,270 - 4,295. This is the main seller control zone. Gold needs to reclaim this area before the recovery can become more serious. Above that, sell liquidity remains around 4,375 - 4,400, but that zone is not the immediate focus unless gold breaks and accepts above the Sell POC. Important Volume Profile zones Current price area: 4,150 - 4,160 Gold is recovering from lower value, but still below major seller control. Lower value / buy reaction zone: 4,130 - 4,150 Short-term buyer reaction area. Holding this zone keeps the recovery alive. Short-term breakout level: 4,170 First level buyers need to reclaim for stronger continuation. Gold region reaction: 4,229 First major upside reaction zone. Watch for seller response here. Sell POC: 4,270 - 4,295 Main seller control zone. This is the key resistance for the current structure. Sell liquidity: 4,375 - 4,400 Upper liquidity area if gold breaks above the Sell POC with strong acceptance. Lower support: 4,100 - 4,110 Recent low area and key support for the recovery structure. Trading scenario Priority view: recovery attempt, but still under seller value Buy scenario: Entry: Look for buy positions only if gold holds above 4,130 - 4,150 and shows clear bullish rejection from the lower value area. Stop Loss: Below the local sweep low or below the failed value structure. Take Profit: TP1: 4,170 TP2: 4,229 TP3: 4,270 - 4,295 if buyers break and accept above the reaction zone This setup follows the short-term recovery from the 4,100 area. But it needs confirmation because price is still trading below the Sell POC. Sell scenario: Entry: Look for sell positions if gold rejects from 4,229 or from the Sell POC area around 4,270 - 4,295. Stop Loss: Above the rejection high or above the reclaimed value zone. Take Profit: TP1: 4,150 TP2: 4,110 TP3: 4,068 if bearish pressure returns This scenario follows the main Volume Profile logic: sellers still control the larger auction while price remains below the Sell POC. Final view Gold is showing a short-term recovery, but the market has not fully changed structure yet. The bounce from 4,100 is important because buyers are still defending lower value. However, the recovery is happening below the main seller control zone. That means I do not see this as a clean bullish market yet. My map is simple: Hold 4,130 - 4,150 = buyers can continue recovery. Break 4,170 = short-term momentum improves. Reach 4,229 = watch for seller reaction. Break 4,270 - 4,295 = recovery becomes stronger. Reject 4,229 / Sell POC = sellers may push price lower again. Lose 4,100 = bearish continuation risk returns. Gold is trying to recover, but the Sell POC is still the real test. Will buyers finally reclaim value above 4,229 and attack the Sell POC, or will sellers defend the reaction zone and send gold back toward 4,100?