XAUUSD H4 Weekly Forecast: Bullish Structure Meets Premium Level

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XAUUSD H4 Weekly Forecast: Bullish Structure Meets Premium LevelGoldOANDA:XAUUSDRyan_TitanTraderGold remains in a bullish H4 market structure, but price is now approaching a major premium and rejection area. For next week, I am not looking to blindly buy or sell. Instead, I will let price confirm which scenario is developing around the key levels marked on the chart. The main idea is simple: Above 4,318 → bullish structure remains valid. Below 4,318 → bearish correction becomes more likely. Around 4,430–4,460 → major resistance and potential selling area. ## Bullish Scenario: Buy the Pullback The bullish structure is still dominant after multiple BOS events and the strong recovery from the 4,030–4,070 support zone. If Gold pulls back toward 4,350–4,375 and shows bullish confirmation on H4, such as a bullish rejection candle, CHoCH/BOS or strong displacement, I will look for a BUY. BUY Entry: 4,350–4,375 Stop Loss: 4,315 TP1: 4,401 TP2: 4,430 TP3: 4,460 The key condition is that 4,318 must hold. If price respects this area and buyers regain control, the next objective is the premium zone around 4,430–4,460. ## Bullish Breakout Scenario If Gold breaks and closes an H4 candle clearly above 4,430, then I will avoid selling the first breakout. Instead, I will wait for a retest of 4,425–4,435. If that area becomes support, the continuation BUY setup becomes valid. BUY Entry: 4,425–4,435 after successful retest SL: 4,395 TP1: 4,460 TP2: 4,480 A clean H4 close above the premium zone would invalidate the immediate rejection idea and indicate that buyers are attempting to continue the larger bullish trend. ## Bearish Scenario: Sell the Premium Rejection The 4,430–4,460 area is the most important resistance zone on my chart. If price rallies into this zone but fails to break it, then prints a strong bearish rejection or bearish CHoCH on a lower timeframe, I will look for a SELL. SELL Entry: 4,430–4,455 Stop Loss: 4,475 TP1: 4,401 TP2: 4,377 TP3: 4,318 This is the preferred short setup only if price clearly rejects the premium zone. I do not want to sell simply because price reaches resistance. ## Bearish Breakdown Scenario The most important bearish confirmation is a decisive H4 break below 4,318. If an H4 candle closes below 4,318 and price retests the broken level from underneath, that would confirm that the bullish structure is weakening. In that case, I will look for a SELL on the retest. SELL Entry: 4,315–4,330 after bearish retest SL: 4,380 TP1: 4,240 TP2: 4,070 TP3: 4,030 The 4,232–4,240 Order Block becomes the first major downside target. If that zone fails, the next major support is around 4,030–4,070. ## My Weekly Roadmap My primary expectation is a pullback followed by another attempt toward the 4,430–4,460 premium zone while 4,318 remains protected. So I will watch the market in this order: 1. Price holds 4,318 → look for BUY setups toward 4,430–4,460. 2. Price rejects 4,430–4,460 → look for SELL confirmation toward 4,377 and 4,318. 3. H4 closes above 4,460 → bullish continuation, wait for retest before buying. 4. H4 closes below 4,318 → bearish correction, wait for retest and look for SELL toward 4,240. The major levels for next week are therefore 4,318, 4,240, 4,030–4,070 and 4,430–4,460. I will not chase Gold in the middle of the range. The best opportunity should come when price reaches one of these key areas and gives a clear confirmation. What is your scenario for next week: rejection from 4,430–4,460 or breakout toward new highs?