SPX what made the market crash 2000-2008-2025 technical analysisS&P 500SP_DLY:SPXjazziomanSPX SPY QQQ DJI NDX Same thing applies for any stock as well as any other indexes in the world Here is a summary of the strategy shown in the video. When am I bullish? These have to all be a YES * The price is above the daily 200 EMA. * It remains above the 200 EMA for at least 10 consecutive days and hold's it!!!! * The price is also above the daily 50 EMA. * The price is at least 4% above the 200 EMA. * The 200 EMA is pointing upward. * The 50 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, forming a golden cross (don't always happen) * Any Pullbacks toward the 50 or 200 EMA hold as support. When these conditions are met, I can consider buying and holding a medium- or long-term position. I remain bullish unless the market loses the 200 EMA and confirms that breakdown. When am I bearish? * The price is below the daily 200 EMA. * It remains below the 200 EMA for at least 10 consecutive days. * The 200 EMA becomes resistance instead of support. * Every attempt to reclaim it is rejected. * The 200 EMA begins pointing downward. * The 50 EMA also moves downward. * The 50 EMA crosses below the 200 EMA, forming a death cross. When these conditions appear, sellers are in control. Rallies are more likely to fade, and the market can continue falling much further. I can consider closing long-term positions and shorting rallies while the price remains below the 200 EMA. Why did the market keep dropping in 2000? During the dot-com crash, the market remained below the 200 EMA for an extended period. Every rally toward the 200 EMA was rejected because the former support had become resistance. The 200 EMA was pointing downward, and the 50 EMA crossed below it. These conditions confirmed that sellers remained in control. The sell-off continued until the market finally reclaimed the 200 EMA, held above it for more than 10 days and formed a stronger bullish structure. Why did the market keep dropping in 2008? The market had already broken below the 200 EMA in 2007. Every attempt to recover that level failed, leading to additional selling. Because the price remained below a declining 200 EMA, there was no confirmed long-term buying signal. The market only became more constructive after reclaiming the 200 EMA, remaining above it for at least 10 days, moving above the 50 EMA and eventually producing a bullish crossover. What happened in 2025? The market broke below the 200 EMA and remained there for more than 10 days, confirming bearish conditions. It later moved above the 200 EMA for only one or two days, but it did not satisfy the other bullish confirmation rules. The move became a fakeout. The price lost the 200 EMA again, retested it as resistance and then declined approximately 15%. Later, the market successfully reclaimed the 200 EMA and remained above it for more than 10 days. It also moved above the 50 EMA and more than 4% above the 200 EMA. That created a much stronger buying signal. Current outlook for 2026–2027 The market is currently above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, so a major bear market has not yet been confirmed. I would become bearish if the market: 1. Breaks below the 50 EMA. 2. Remains below the 200ema for more than 10 consecutive days. 3. Repeatedly retests and rejects the 200 EMA (stay under it) 4. Develops a declining 200 EMA (pointing to the downside) 5. Forms a death cross, with the 50 EMA crossing below the 200 EMA. Until those conditions appear, the long-term trend remains bullish. The objective is not to predict every market move but to wait for confirmation and follow the dominant trend.