The bottom half of the Premier League, and the battle to stay in the top flight, is often just as thrilling as the race for the European places – and the title (if your team isn’t involved)!Last season’s scrap for survival went to the final day, and few would’ve foreseen – not least the bookies – a scenario where Tottenham Hotspur were in need of a result to save themselves from the unthinkable. Instead, London rivals West Ham fell through the trap door, while two of the three newly-promoted sides finished well clear of danger – Sunderland, in fact, secured European football!Heading into a new season, the Premier League relegation odds will typically list the trio coming up from the Championship with the shortest odds – and recent history does prove that the gap between the two divisions is widening. In the two seasons prior to 2025/26, all three newly-promoted clubs were sent packing, and with low points totals.Will some of the big boys circle the drain once again, or will the bottom of the league have a more familiar look to it? We’ll take a deep dive in this article and try to – bravely and perhaps stupidly – predict who will be relegated from the Premier League. A current look at the Premier League relegation oddsHere’s how the bookies believe the wrong end of the Premier League table could look in May. Those who support these teams will hope they’re wrong!Hull City – 1/5 with bet365Ipswich Town – 8/11 with BetfredCoventry City – 8/11 with BOYLE SportsSunderland – 7/2 with LadbrokesFulham – 5/1 with BOYLE SportsCrystal Palace – 6/1 with UnibetLeeds United – 7/1 with BetVictorNewcastle United – 9/1 with BetwayNottingham Forest – 9/1 with BetVictorBrentford – 10/1 with BetVictor*Odds correct as of 21st August but are subject to change.A year ago, Hull City were one of the favourites for relegation from the Championship, never mind the Premier League. After grabbing the final play-off spot on the final day of the regular season, however, they went all the way and became the first 6th-placed team to go up since Blackpool in 2010. That remarkable rise won’t stop them from being listed as odds-on favourites to go down, however. Ipswich Town secured an immediate return to the top flight after finishing second, just as they did two years ago under Kieran McKenna. The Northern Irishman has since stepped down, however, with Gary O’Neil taking over. Championship champions Coventry City are back in the top flight after a quarter of a century away, but they too have their work cut out to ensure they stick around.Of the teams who played Premier League football last season, Sunderland are being tipped to get dragged into the dogfight, while Fulham and Crystal Palace are also being regarded as vulnerable. Premier League relegation favouritesThe Black Cats are the example that Hull, Ipswich and Coventry will be looking to follow, after they not only survived last season, they thrived – finishing 7th and qualifying for the Europa League!Very few promoted sides have managed to compete in recent seasons, however, and that is why there’s still a lot of caution surrounding these three.Hull CityHaving escaped dropping to the third tier on the final day of the 2024/25 season, Sergej Jakirović defied the odds – and a lot of other stats – in his first season in charge. Only three teams conceded more goals than the Tigers in the regular season, and they also ranked 19th (of 24) in average possession, but they found a way to get results and stay in and around the top six all season long – securing the 6th spot on the final day by beating Norwich.They then produced the perfect away performance to knock out Millwall in the winner-takes-all second leg of their semi-final, and then defeated Middlesbrough in the final. Needless to say, their squad needed a lot of work and so far, they’ve spent most of their resources on the back line and goalkeeper – Greek international Konstantinos Tzolakis will line up between the sticks after Ivor Pandur joined Rangers, while big money has been splurged on the very young Nobel Mendy (21) and Lucas Herrington (18) at centre back. Striker Joe Gelhardt has returned on a permanent basis from Leeds – he and Oli McBurnie combined for 31 goals last season – while left back Matt Targett arrives on a free, having played against the Tigers at Wembley for Middlesbrough.Hull have it all to do to stay in the Premier League, as their price reflects. Tip Hull City to be relegated at 1/5 with bet365 Ipswich TownIpswich Town returned to the Premier League two years ago, after 22 years away, having won back-to-back promotions under Kieran McKenna. They found the double jump difficult, however, and found themselves back in the Championship last season, but no longer with a plucky underdog tag.McKenna managed the expectations well, and an expensively-assembled team for the level kept their cool to finish second once again, winning a thrilling four-team race ahead of Millwall, Middlesbrough and Southampton. While the Suffolk club will be back, the Northern Irish manager won’t be – after he opted to step down after four and a half years in charge. Former Bournemouth and Wolves boss Gary O’Neil takes over.Ipswich have been busy this summer adding top flight experience, which many feel was their undoing last time around. Among their recruits are Sasa Lukić and Issa Diop from Fulham, as well as Julio Enciso – who returns on a permanent deal after joining on loan for the second half of their 2024/25 survival attempt.With these pieces in place, the Tractor Boys are likely to play a more pragmatic style than two years ago, where they were simply bested by teams with greater technical quality. It should stand them in good stead but, for now, the bookies are still exercising caution. Bet on Ipswich Town to go down at 8/11 with Betfred Coventry CityCoventry City are back in the top flight for the first time in 25 years, having fallen all the way down to League 2 and having had to fight against administration and threats of liquidation during that time. They’re led by one of the all-time Premier League greats in Frank Lampard, who took over in late 2024 when the Sky Blues were languishing in the bottom half of the Championship.The decision to sack Mark Robins was, at the time, very unpopular. Robins had rescued the club from the fourth tier, led them to two promotions and had them fighting for a third. With that rise, however, came readjusted expectations and the team were underperforming in the first half of that 2024/25 season. Under Lampard, they eventually finished in the play-offs, losing in heartbreaking fashion to Sunderland. They made just a few subtle tweaks to the squad that summer, before coming back and winning the league emphatically in 2025/26. They were the most potent attack – scoring 97 goals – and the most obdurate defence, conceding just 45 (just under one per game).Coventry have broken their transfer record four times this summer, signing four players for £20m or more – a very far cry from the dark days of playing home games in Northampton and Birmingham! Owner Doug King completed the purchase of the CBS Arena last summer.As with Hull and Ipswich, Coventry have a huge adjustment to make if they’re to survive in the Premier League, but they may be the most likely of the three. Tip Coventry City to be relegated at 8/11 with BOYLE Sports Who could get dragged into trouble?With long-tenured teams – Wolves and West Ham – dropping out of the league back in May, and with Tottenham having flirted very dangerously, no one outside the title contenders can feel truly comfortable. Most Premier League teams are only a couple of bad breaks from finding themselves in a battle. Here are three teams who the bookies believe fall into that category.SunderlandSunderland have provided the blueprint for newly-promoted clubs to follow, and were in the top half of the table for most of the season – their first in the top flight since 2016/17. The Black Cats were unbeaten at home until February, and their eventual tally of 33 points at the Stadium of Light would’ve been enough on its own to keep them up in 2023/24 and 2024/25. A final day win over Chelsea on Wearside catapulted them up to seventh and secured them a first European campaign in 53 years – and that’s perhaps why the Premier League relegation odds market is factoring in the classic “second season syndrome”. The Black Cats overhauled their entire squad last summer, with very few members of their Championship team playing meaningful minutes last season. This summer there has, wisely, not been such a huge turnover. Granit Xhaka remains, after speculation linking him with Chelsea. They’ll hope their other excellent signings can go again – such as Brian Brobbey, Nordi Mukiele and goalkeeper Robin Roefs.We’ll have to wait and see how much of an impact Thursday nights have on the squad but the bookies are expecting it to take a toll. Tip Sunderland to suffer second season syndrome and be relegated at 7/2 with Ladbrokes FulhamThis will be Fulham’s fifth season back in the Premier League after a period of yo-yo’ing between 2018 and 2022. They appeared to have established themselves once again as a top flight fixture, finishing between 10th and 13th in each of the previous four seasons. This summer has seen widespread change on the banks of the Thames, however, with manager Marco Silva stepping down and subsequently taking over at Benfica.They’ve also lost a lot of goals and creativity with Raúl Jiménez and Harry Wilson – who won the club’s Player of the Season award last season – both leaving on free transfers. Issa Diop and Sasa Lukić were both sold to newly-promoted Ipswich too. Álvaro Arbeloa has taken the managerial reins, having stepped in at Real Madrid last season following the sacking of Xabi Alonso. He’s brought striker Gonzalo García with him, in a deal that represents a club record for the West Londoners. It looks as though the goalscoring burden will be entirely on the young Spaniard, who played a starring role in Los Blancos’ Club World Cup campaign last summer. It’s a gamble. Bet on Fulham to be relegated from the Premier League at 5/1 with BOYLE Sports Leeds UnitedLeeds were the other newly-promoted team to survive last year and while they were no Sunderland, they did so with plenty to spare – spending just two weeks inside the bottom three.Those two weeks came at the end of a run of four straight defeats in November, which cast further doubt over manager Daniel Farke’s ability at the very top level of English football. The German changed to a back five, and the results immediately improved – the Yorkshire club went seven unbeaten into the new year, beating Chelsea and taking points off of Liverpool and Manchester United.A similar run from the middle of March up to the last day of the season saw them finish 14th with 47 points – with 32 of those coming at Elland Road. Needless to say, they need to make their home ground a fortress once again. Like several other clubs, Leeds have broken their transfer record this summer – splashing £40m on goalkeeper James Trafford who could become Jordan Pickford’s successor for England. He’ll be protected by centre backs Tarik Muharemović and Nico Elvedi who have arrived for another combined £40m. At the other end of the pitch, they’ll hope for a similar goals return from Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who bagged 14 last season having not cost them a penny. Tip Leeds United to go down at 7/1 with BetVictor Premier League great escapesPremier League relegation battles are notoriously unpredictable, with teams that at points look dead and buried somehow finding the quality and fighting spirit to survive. The most famous example is probably West Brom in 2004/05 who became the first side to defeat the “bottom at Christmas” curse. Not only that, but The Baggies were rock bottom heading into the final day. They beat Portsmouth 2-0 while all their rivals failed to win – they finished 17th.Fulham are another team who’ve hauled themselves out of the bottom three with a win on the final day – which also came against Pompey. Roy Hodgson’s side were heading down with two games to spare when they were trailing Man City 2-0 at half time. They came back to win that game 3-2, and then won their last two to also finish 17th. Sunderland under Gus Poyet and Sam Allardyce in the years 2013/14 and 2015/16 lived a charmed life, but survived both times with unlikely, dramatic wins against title- and Europe-chasing teams. Wigan Athletic, similarly, showed incredible fight for several seasons, most notably in 2011/12 when they won at Anfield and the Emirates, and stunned Manchester United at the DW Stadium.So there is therefore plenty of previous evidence to suggest that, sometimes, the long odds that this market might give heading into the final weeks of the season can come in! Premier League biggest collapsesSimilarly, there have also been teams who’ve slid dramatically down the table from a fairly lofty position and been relegated – such as Blackpool in 2010/11 who emerged from the festive period in 10th place, and would complete a double over Liverpool in early January. A run of just 11 points in the final 18 games, however, saw their fairytale come to an end.Some big clubs have also suffered nightmare seasons. West Ham are now in the Championship for a third time since the turn of the century. Newcastle have had to rebuild twice outside the top flight, and so too did Aston Villa after finishing rock bottom in 2015/16. It took them three attempts to return. That season’s 5000/1 champions Leicester now find themselves in League One! My Premier League relegation tips Relegation treble – Crystal Palace, Fulham and Hull While generally not available as an acca, bet365 has a market for ‘relegated teams’, allowing you to pick from various three-team combos. I have a bad feeling about the direction of travel at Selhurst Park. Palace have just won a European trophy, but finished 15th in the Premier League – their joint-lowest position since promotion back in 2013. They’ve also lost manager Oliver Glasner as well as centre back Maxence Lacroix this summer – on top of the departures of Marc Guéhi and Eberechi Eze in the previous two transfer windows. Fulham, as mentioned above, are relying on Álvaro Arbeloa to hit the ground running in the dugout and Gonzalo García to replace all the goals that have left West London. Hull, sadly, I believe won’t have the quality to survive, and the way in which they’ve won promotion won’t stand them in good stead to compete against world class players every week.This trio, before a ball is kicked this season, is available at 150/1! Back my Premier League relegation trio at 150/1 with bet365 Number of promoted teams to be relegated – 1With that said, that means I’m also – by extension – predicting just one of the three promoted clubs to be relegated, similarly to last season. This is the second-favourite outcome in that particular market – with two teams being priced as odds-on. You can get 4/1 on all three dropping, just as they did in 2023/24 and 2024/25, and around 20/1 on all three surviving! Bet on just one promoted team to be relegated at 13/5 with Unibet Tottenham to finish in the bottom half While not a relegation market per se, I believe there’s an opportunity here. After back-to-back 17th-place finishes, and given how competitive the middle of the Premier League tends to be, I can’t see a world where Tottenham instantly bounce back and finish around the top six or seven – which is where the bookies seem to be placing them in markets covering the title and top 4 races.They surely can’t be any worse, but I need to see it to truly believe they’re fully out of their malaise. Bet on Tottenham to finish in the bottom half again at 9/2 with bet365 Premier League 2026/27 relegation FAQs1. What are the main reason(s) why newly promoted teams struggle to establish themselves in the Premier League?The incredibly lucrative Premier League TV deal – plus other prize monies and sponsorship deals – means that teams who avoid the drop just once are able to build up enormous wealth. In fact, just reaching the top flight already puts you in a position to spend £20m+ on players as seen from Coventry, Ipswich and Hull this summer! Those three are having to push the boat out to compete with clubs who’ve been spending that sort of money for years. Then there’s the Catch-22 in that top players are unlikely to join, knowing that there’s a strong chance of being relegated. The first season after promotion is incredibly tough, no matter who you are and how recently you were last in the Premier League.2. Which team(s) have been relegated most often from the Premier League?With their relegation last season, Burnley joined West Brom and Leicester on five top flight demotions a piece and only Norwich City are above them (or below them) in that regard, having been sent down six times – suffering four of those between 2014 and 2022. Sunderland are one of four teams – but the only one currently in the Premier League – on four relegations. 3. How many points are typically needed to survive?40 points used to be regarded as the magic number. Indeed, only three teams in Premier League history have been relegated with 40 or more points. West Ham finished third bottom with 39 last season, but the bar had been much lower in the seasons prior with Leicester and Luton finishing 18th with 25 and 26 points respectively in 2024/25 and 2023/24. These are, as history suggests, the two extremes. Usually, around 34 or 35 points is enough to stay up.4. How often does the relegation battle go to the last day?Usually, at least one relegation spot is still undecided going into the 38th and final game – such as last season where we knew it would be either Tottenham or West Ham to drop. On some occasions, only one or none of the relegation battlers have been mathematically relegated and we get a dramatic “Survival Sunday” such as in 2004/05 and 2010/11 – where the fates of four and five teams respectively were decided on the final day.About the authorNathan HillNathan Hill is an experienced sports writer who obsessively follows football – both the round ball and American kind – as well as range of other sports including F1, basketball, darts and snooker.Commercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 18+. 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