APT/USDT H2Aptos / USDTMEXC:APTUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $0.539130 (+0.77%) │ TP2: $0.543259 (+1.54%) 🛑 SL: $0.527492 (-1.40%) │ R/R: 1 : 1.1 ⚠️ SL is placed beyond the nearest candle tails to reduce the risk of accidental triggering FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND Today, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July was released: US inflation slowed to 3.4% year-over-year compared to the previous 3.5%, matching forecasts. The market reacted neutrally, as the figures brought no surprises. APT, like most altcoins, is showing weakness amid a general decline in risk appetite. The delisting of the APT/BTC pair on Binance on 14.08.2026 has further limited liquidity. TECHNICAL PICTURE A strong downtrend is confirmed by ADX 50.6. The price is below key moving averages (EMA 20 - $0.54, EMA 50 - $0.55), reinforcing the bearish scenario. However, the current level of $0.535 is close to the local low of $0.5267, and MACD shows signs of a potential reversal (histogram near zero). VWAP $0.54 acts as the nearest resistance. PROBABILITY MODEL Probability of continued decline — 35%, flat — 33%, upward correction — 32%. The model assesses the rebound potential as moderate (confidence coefficient 50%), given oversold conditions and proximity to strong support. DIRECTION 🟢 BUY. A bounce from the local low is possible given current oversold conditions.