NEAR/USDT H2: To overheating at local highsNEAR / USDTMEXC:NEARUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $1.8701 (+2.09%) │ TP2: $1.8302 (+4.18%) 🛑 SL: $1.9825 (-3.80%) │ R/R: 1 : 1.1 ⚠️ SL is placed beyond the nearest candle tails to reduce the risk of accidental triggering FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND NEAR is moving in line with the broader crypto market recovery following short liquidations, but the project lacks its own catalysts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) minutes from 19.08.2026 contained no specific figures but maintained a hawkish tone, limiting the upside potential for altcoins. The Fear & Greed Index in the Greed zone supports risk appetite, but overbought conditions near local highs warrant caution. TECHNICAL PICTURE The price of $1.9100 is testing the upper boundary of the range ($1.5600–$1.9490) amid a strong trend (ADX 42.6). EMA 20 (1.77) and EMA 50 (1.71) act as dynamic supports, but the MACD divergence (histogram 0.01) signals a potential correction. VWAP 1.78 remains a key level for medium-term players. PROBABILITY MODEL Bullish and bearish scenario probabilities are balanced (41% each), indicating consolidation. The model's high confidence coefficient (75%) confirms the significance of current levels. DIRECTION 🔴 SELL — A correction toward VWAP 1.78 is likely due to overheating at local highs.