WIF/USDT H4: Bearish pressure

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WIF/USDT H4: Bearish pressuredogwifhat sol / USDTMEXC:WIFUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $0.133625 (+1.82%) │ TP2: $0.131238 (+3.57%) 🛑 SL: $0.140520 (-3.25%) │ R/R: 1 : 1.1 ⚠️ SL is placed beyond recent candle wicks to reduce the risk of accidental stop-outs. FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND WIF continues to show weakness amid a lack of project catalysts. The broader crypto market remains in a risk zone, which is particularly sensitive for meme coins. Tomorrow's Federal Reserve (FOMC) minutes may increase volatility, but the current cautious backdrop is already priced in. The Fear & Greed Index at 40 confirms subdued sentiment. TECHNICAL PICTURE Price is below key moving averages EMA 20 and EMA 50 at $0.14, reinforcing the bearish scenario. ADX 21.5 indicates a moderate trend with seller dominance. VWAP $0.14 acts as dynamic resistance. MACD in negative territory confirms downward momentum. PROBABILITY MODEL Probability of bearish continuation — 44%, aligning with the current technical outlook. Model confidence of 75% is supported by indicator convergence and fundamental backdrop. Sideways (23%) and bullish reversal (32%) remain less likely scenarios. DIRECTION 🔴 SELL Break below EMA 20/50 and moderately bearish ADX create conditions for further downside.