MFPC: Fundamentals Are Exceptional, Awaiting One Last ConfirmMisr Fertilizers Production Company MOPCOEGX_DLY:MFPCmnmabroukw36ix📊 MFPC: Fundamentals Are Exceptional, Awaiting One Last Confirmation 🚀 🏛️ Fundamentals: From a fundamental perspective, it is difficult to find a better-quality stock on the EGX than MFPC. 💎 The company combines exceptional profitability, virtually zero debt, strong USD-linked export revenues, high cash generation, and an attractive dividend yield. 💰 The valuation remains attractive relative to the quality of the business, with fair value estimates providing further upside potential. 📈 The main factors that can significantly affect the stock remain geopolitical developments, global urea prices, natural gas availability, and the USD/EGP exchange rate. 🌍 📈 The Pulse: MFPC has started showing a clear change of character after the previous downtrend, followed by a sideways accumulation phase. 🔄 I have also seen strong liquidity entering the stock, with around 215M EGP traded, approximately 2.5 times the average. 💰 This increase in liquidity is an important positive confirmation that demand is returning to the stock. 🟢 However, I want one final confirmation before considering the entry fully confirmed. 👀 I want to see MFPC trade above 38.60 EGP and remain above this level for at least one additional trading day. 🚀 Once that confirmation happens, I would consider the bullish structure significantly stronger. 📈 For existing shareholders, the setup remains attractive as long as the 37 EGP support level holds. 🛡️ For new investors, I would prefer waiting for the 38.60 EGP confirmation rather than entering before the breakout is confirmed. 🎯 🧱 The Key Structural Boundaries • Breakout Trigger: Sustained trading above 38.60 EGP for another trading day. 🚀 • First Target: 43 EGP, major resistance and approximately the Investing.com fair value. 🎯 • Second Target: 48 EGP, strong resistance and my fair value target. 🎯 • Final Target: 52 EGP, Faisal annual target and previous ATH zone. 🚀 • Long-Term Target: 69 EGP, based on Rumble's long-term target. 📈 🛡️ Risk Management: My trading stop-loss is a break and daily close below 37 EGP. 🛑 A confirmed close below this level would invalidate the current setup and signal that the expected change of character has failed. ⚠️ If the 38.60 EGP breakout is confirmed, I would then focus on the 43, 48, and 52 EGP targets. 🎯 ☪️ Sharia Compliance Status: COMPLIANT MFPC passes the stated AAOIFI financial screens, with interest-bearing debt at approximately 0.1% of total assets and non-compliant income below the applicable threshold. Dividend purification should be considered based on the latest verified financial disclosures. ☪️ ⚖️ Portfolio Note: If you already have a position in Abu Qir Fertilizers, I would skip adding MFPC simply because both are very strong fertilizer names with highly similar exposure. 🔄 There is little benefit in unnecessarily concentrating the portfolio in two companies with similar business and commodity-cycle exposure. ⚠️ 🎯 Verdict: MFPC offers an exceptional fundamental story, but I do not want to chase the stock before the technical confirmation. 👀 A sustained move above 38.60 EGP would be my final confirmation for entry. 🚀 Above that level, I am watching 43 EGP, 48 EGP, and 52 EGP, with 69 EGP as the longer-term target. 🎯 Until the 37 EGP level is broken on a closing basis, the bullish setup remains intact. 🟢 If you like my insights, follow and boost! 🙌💙🚀 🎁 $15 TradingView Discount: https://www.tradingview.com/pricing/?share_your_love=mnmabroukw36ix ✨💸🤑