XAUUSD – Gold Possible Retest and continuation | ICT ANALYSIS GoldOANDA:XAUUSDDECRYPTERSGold Chart Overview Daily trend: Bullish (above key MAs). Weekly trend: Moderately bullish. Market structure: Bullish. BOS/CHOCH: No fresh clear BOS; consolidation after recovery. Major support: 4326–4385. Major resistance: 4436–4500. Liquidity zones: Around recent highs near 4450. FVGs: Limited fresh data. Premium/Discount: Trading near premium of recent range. Volume profile: No fresh detailed data available. 2 -Latest Gold News Headline: Gold rises on weaker USD and lower Fed hike bets after soft US data. Source: Reuters / Bloomberg. Impact on Gold: Supportive (positive). 3- Latest Geopolitics Ongoing US-Iran tensions; Trump admin prepares new economic isolation measures; Hormuz risks persist; Israel activity in region. Source: Reuters / Bloomberg. Risk level: Medium-High. Gold impact: Mild safe-haven support. 4- Trump Watch:- Latest: Admin readies “unprecedented” economic isolation plan for Iran; ongoing tariff focus; comments on regional issues. Focus areas active: Iran sanctions, tariffs. 5 -DXY Analysis:- Current DXY: ~99.5. Trend: Mildly weaker. Support: ~99.3. Resistance: ~99.7–100. Gold correlation: Inverse (weaker DXY supports gold). 2Y yield: ~4.17%. 10Y yield: ~4.70%. Yield direction: Stable to slightly lower. Gold impact: Mildly supportive (lower opportunity cost). 6- ETF & SESSIONS:- GLD: Recent outflows (e.g. ~$365M one day); mixed prior inflows. Institutional demand: Soft short-term. Sentiment signal: Cautious. Asia: Mild positive open. London: Continuation higher. New York: Active, range extension. Liquidity sweeps: Limited fresh detail. Killzones: Standard London/NY active. 7- Sentiment & RISK RADAR:- Safe haven demand: Moderate. Dollar pressure: Yes (supportive). Bond yield pressure: Mild ease. ETF demand: Soft. Geopolitical premium: Present but contained. Watch: Fresh Trump Iran statements, Hormuz escalation, Fed minutes, oil spikes. 8- Trade Bias:- ( AUG 17, 2026) Bullish short-term; most traders favour BUY/LONG, with key buy zone 4405–4415 and targets 4427 → 4450+. Technical: H4 bullish base, BOS, Order Block, FVG, trendline break & strong momentum; retail positioning 57% Long / 43% Short. Structure: Bullish above ~4370; buyers treating dips as entries, with resistance at 4450–4500 and no widespread bearish confirmation. Invalidation: Clear break/close below 4370. Overall XAUUSD trader sentiment remains long-biased. 🛡️ Risk Management * Risk only 1–2% per trade. * Define invalidation before entering. * Keep stops below the relevant support structure. * Avoid excessive leverage during high-volatility sessions. * Wait for confirmation rather than entering solely on anticipation. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.