ADBE LONG — 8H + 3D ALMA Strategy | 70% / 68% WR · avg RR 2.1Adobe Inc.BATS:ADBEGoldfinch_songMy BoaBias ALMA Strategy has generated long positions on ADBE across the 8H and 3D timeframes. ADBE is currently trading near $239.94. The 8H position began around $229.84. It now has 3/4 lots filled, with an average entry near $231.51. The 3D position began around $238.85. It now has 2/4 lots filled, with an average entry near $236.28. These are separate systematic positions, each managed by its own strategy. Why I’m in the trade The ALMA Averaging Strategy can scale into each position through up to four averaging entries. The stop loss is maintained at −10% from that strategy’s average entry price, so the average and reference stop can change if more lots are triggered. At the current averages, the reference stop levels are around $208.36 for the 8H position and $212.65 for the 3D position. At $239.94, the 8H position is approximately +3.64% and the 3D position approximately +1.55%. What matters here is getting exposure when the system’s statistical conditions are met and letting each strategy manage its position. Market Edge My Market Edge model aggregates 16 technical indicators across six timeframes from 1H to 1W. ADBE: Long Edge 22.4 · Short Edge −17.4 The asset-level score currently leans toward the long side, with ALMA contributing positively. ALMA is Long on 1H, 4H and 1D, while 3D and 1W are Short and show short-side overheat. Price is above the 1H EMA, but remains below the 4H, 1D, 3D and 1W EMA levels. There is nearby support evidence: the 1D bull FVG around $233.17 has a 57.1% bounce-up rate versus 42.9% break-down, based on 1,231 observations. The 4H bull FVG around $233.14 shows a 53.8% bounce-up rate versus 46.2% break-down, based on 1,679 observations. The opposing signal is also close: the 1D bear FVG around $233.17 has a 47.9% break-up rate versus 52.1% bounce-down, based on 1,059 observations. So the shorter-timeframe setup has some support, while the 3D–1W structure remains the key risk to the long thesis. Sentiment The latest Research Hub readings show: US Stocks: Greed 59.9 US · IT Services: Greed 67.5 ADBE: No asset-specific sentiment reading Sentiment is positive at the market and sector levels, while the Hub has no locked ADBE-specific notes. That leaves the broader backdrop constructive, without a direct sentiment signal for the stock. Recent ADBE developments Adobe reported record Q3 FY2026 revenue of $6.76 billion, up 13% year over year, and said AI-first ARR grew more than 150%. The company also reported more than one billion monthly active users across its creativity and productivity products. In September, Adobe announced new Acrobat Productivity Agent features for turning documents into summaries, visuals and presentations, alongside enterprise tools for searching information across document collections. Adobe also announced that Anil Chakravarthy will become president and CEO on December 1, with Shantanu Narayen moving to executive chair. The company’s recent results and product announcements provide a constructive fundamental backdrop. The upcoming leadership transition is another development to monitor while the technical picture remains mixed. The historical 8H ADBE model has produced: 456 closed trades 70% win rate 2.2 Profit Factor +21.7% average winning trade −10.5% average losing trade ~47 × 8H bars average holding time 16% max strategy drawdown The historical strategy equity curve shows approximately +2,754.2%. The historical 3D ADBE model has produced: 734 closed trades 68% win rate 2.2 Profit Factor +24.1% average winning trade −10.3% average losing trade ~17 × 3D bars average holding time 13% max strategy drawdown These are historical strategy results, not a forecast of what either open position will return. Current positions 8H average entry: $231.51 8H lots filled: 3/4 8H reference stop: ~$208.36 3D average entry: $236.28 3D lots filled: 2/4 3D reference stop: ~$212.65 Bias: Long The two positions have positive MTM, but their signals are not identical: the 8H model has three lots filled, the 3D model has two, and the slower technical structure remains bearish. As long as each strategy keeps its long conditions active, I stay with that position. If additional averaging conditions trigger, each model can add up to two more lots. Each stop remains 10% below its own average entry price and adjusts if that average changes. If a model generates its systematic exit condition, that position closes. News → Charts → Strategy → Execution. No guessing. No emotional exits. Just the system.