SOL Outlook — September 29–October 1, 2026SOL / Tether PERPETUAL FUTURESMEXC:SOLUSDT.Psean78808SOL’s decline Monday has brought it back to a former breakout shelf (116-117). At time of writing, it has rebounded to about 118.87, clearly testing a resistance zone. The question now is whether buyers can sustain that recovery or whether SOL is looking at a lower high. KEY LEVELS •119.5–120.5: Immediate Supply if 119 is reclaimed and held. •118.5–119: Immediate recovery test. •117.3–118.1: Chop-chop, a ‘no-chase’ zone. •116–117: Larger support shelf; roughly 115 comes into focus after a confirmed breakdown of from the latter. WHAT TO WATCH FOR: A completed 30-minute rejection at 118.5–119 favors another test of 117 and the 116–117 shelf. A sustained reclaim of 119 instead points to 119.5–120.5. At support, a sweep followed by a defended reclaim could produce a bounce, but the first touch alone is not sufficient to confirm it as such. A broader downside move would be suggested given a completed one or four-hour break below the shelf and a failed retest. PCE may produce a sharp move in either direction. The useful signal will be whether SOL holds its reclaimed level after the release. NOTATAS BENE: Recovery Test: The red band at 118.5–119 No Chase Zone: The yellow band marking contested territory and fair value Breakout Shelf: Green band circa 116–117. MA’S FAST KAMA (10,2,30): PURPLE SLOW KAMA (10,5,30): PINK