U.S. Stock Market Ready to Fall? S&P 500 IndexTVC:SPXRomanCassiusTradeAt the end of April, I published a post π Why markets actually rise or fall(see related publications), explaining that the market was clearing the remaining liquidity before a reversal lower. Since then, BTCUSDT has fallen -16%, reaching -27% at the deepest point. Meanwhile, the SPX completed its short-liquidity sweep and reached the upside target from that same post. Now the stock market also looks ready for a correction βοΈ There is a saying: βIf you want to make something look good, first make it worse, then return it to normal.β In my opinion, this perfectly describes Trumpβs style. The logic is simple: Elections are approaching β U.S. stocks are trading near historic valuations β sustaining further growth becomes increasingly difficult β the market is allowed to correct β closer to the elections, new stimulus or liquidity injections appear β markets recover and the administration presents itself as the force that βsaved the economyβ π£ There are already enough fundamental reasons for a decline: 1οΈβ£ The War in Iran 2οΈβ£ Global Central Banks and Why Inflation Is Here to Stay 3οΈβ£ The Fed and many others π― Technical Analysis The charts show the SPX and NDX forming almost identical structures. Both indices have created a diamond top reversal pattern, and Nasdaq has already started breaking down from it π Even more importantly, the S&P 500 formed this reversal pattern near the upper boundary of its long-term rising channel, which began back in 2008. The weekly chart also shows a massive bearish divergence. My initial downside targets are: π― S&P 500: 6,800 π― Nasdaq 100: 25,000 After those levels are reached, I will update the outlook. π° What about crypto? Some understand that the broader crypto market remains bearish, while others are starting to feel FOMO after a small BTC recovery. But if U.S. stocks move lower, do not expect crypto to rally against the global risk-off trend. Right now is the time to reduce risk, not increase it. _____ π If you want to trade like a professional and not like a gambler β follow for real insights and strategies π