CENTCOM's insistence that the strait "remains open" is likely to do little to ease the risk premium already embedded in Brent and WTI, since the command's own figures imply throughput running at roughly a third of pre-war levels once averaged out. That's broadly consistent with, rather than a rebuttal of, the reduced Persian Gulf flow estimates that have been driving recent price gains. The gap between CENTCOM's vessel count and typical commercial-tracker transit numbers also points to a methodological mismatch rather than a genuine contradiction, CENTCOM appears to be counting facilitated or escorted transits, not total AIS-tracked traffic, so the two data sets aren't really measuring the same thing. For traders, the operative signal remains the reduced barrel flow, not the binary open-or-closed framing.Earlier:US attacks on Iran continue for the 11 straight nightOil ICYMI - Houthi blockade threat forces Saudi crude tankers to turn backRecap - Oil climbs to five-week high as Iran conflict and Houthi blockade threat widenIran says all U.S. and allies interests in the region will be targeted if U.S. attacks nuclear sites---CENTCOM says Hormuz is open, but its own numbers show barrels moving at close to a third of the normal rate.Summary:CENTCOM said it completed its 11th consecutive night of strikes against Iran, targeting military, maritime, and logistics infrastructure.Iran has attacked more than 30 commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz over the past three months, according to CENTCOM.CENTCOM said the strait remains open, citing around 900 commercial vessel transits and 450 million barrels of crude oil facilitated since early May.Averaged out, those figures imply crude flow of roughly 5.5 million barrels a day, well below the pre-war baseline of 14 to 15 million barrels a day.The implied vessel count of about 11 a day is also well below typical commercial tracker figures for the strait, likely reflecting a difference in what each side is counting.U.S. Central Command said on Tuesday that it had completed its 11th consecutive night of strikes against Iran, with forces targeting Iranian military operations centers, maritime capabilities, aircraft hangars, drone storage facilities and logistics infrastructure, according to a CENTCOM statement. The command said the strikes are intended to further degrade Iran's ability to threaten commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.CENTCOM said Iran has attacked more than 30 commercial vessels transiting the waterway over the past three months, describing the attacks as unwarranted and as endangering hundreds of mariners while undermining freedom of navigation. Despite that, the command said the strait remains open for commercial vessel transit, and that since early May it has helped facilitate the passage of approximately 900 commercial vessels and 450 million barrels of crude oil.Those figures are worth putting in context against pre war baselines and independent tracking data. Averaged over the roughly eleven weeks since early May, 450 million barrels works out to around 5.5 million barrels a day, well below the 14 to 15 million barrels a day of crude and condensate that typically moved through Hormuz before the conflict, according to prior U.S. Energy Information Administration figures. On that basis, CENTCOM's own numbers imply crude flows running at somewhere close to a third of pre war levels, broadly in line with, or even somewhat below, other recent estimates that Persian Gulf flows have fallen to under 45 percent of pre war volumes. Similarly, roughly 900 vessels over eleven weeks works out to around 11 a day, a fraction of the dozens of transits a day that commercial tanker trackers have historically recorded through the strait. That gap may partly reflect a difference in what is being counted: CENTCOM's figures likely describe vessels it has directly facilitated or escorted through military operations, while commercial trackers such as Vortexa, Kpler and Lloyd's List typically log all AIS visible transits regardless of military involvement.Taken together, the message that the strait remains open is technically accurate but sits alongside data, including the command's own, indicating that actual throughput has been running well below normal levels since the conflict escalated. That distinction between the strait being passable and the strait carrying anything close to its usual volume of oil is likely to remain a key point of friction between official messaging and market based tracking of the disruption. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.