EUR/USD Liquidity Rebound Meets Broken Structure

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EUR/USD Liquidity Rebound Meets Broken StructureEUR/USDOANDA:EURUSDaminrahmani888Market Thesis: EUR/USD has delivered a sharp bullish reaction from the visible 15-minute demand/order-block zone, followed by a LuxAlgo bullish BOS near 1.13795. However, the recovery is now testing the previously broken 1.13970 structure level, where the latest candle wicked to 1.14012 but failed to hold above it. Near-term momentum is bullish, but the broader 15-minute order flow remains vulnerable while price trades below 1.14100–1.14150. Visible Confluences — 15-Minute Chart: Bullish order block/demand: 1.13755–1.13815. LuxAlgo bullish BOS: approximately 1.13795, confirming the short-term recovery. Equal-low liquidity: clustered around 1.13755–1.13775. Major sell-side liquidity/swing low: approximately 1.13635. Broken structure / bearish CHoCH level: approximately 1.13970–1.13975. Current rejection: price reached 1.14012 but returned to 1.13948, showing no confirmed acceptance above broken structure. Primary bearish order block/supply: 1.14100–1.14150. Higher bearish supply: 1.14335–1.14355. Trade Scenarios: Setup 1: Sell the Broken-Structure Retest — Primary Scenario Direction: Sell Entry Zone: 1.13970–1.14010 Trigger: A 1-minute or 5-minute bearish CHoCH, strong rejection candle, or momentum close back below 1.13970. Stop Loss: 1.14030 TP1: 1.13880 TP2: 1.13810 TP3: 1.13760 Rationale: Price is retesting the origin of the latest bearish structural break. Failure to reclaim 1.13970 would favor rotation back toward the visible demand zone. Setup 2: Buy the 15M Demand Retest Direction: Buy Entry Zone: 1.13760–1.13810 Trigger: Sweep of the local equal lows followed by an LTF bullish CHoCH or a decisive bullish momentum candle. Stop Loss: 1.13735 TP1: 1.13880 TP2: 1.13970 TP3: 1.14100 Rationale: This zone generated the most recent bullish displacement and BOS. It remains valid unless price closes decisively below its lower boundary. Setup 3: Sell from Premium Supply Direction: Sell Entry Zone: 1.14100–1.14150 Trigger: Bearish LTF structural shift, rejection wick, or bearish displacement from inside the red order block. Stop Loss: 1.14170 TP1: 1.14010 TP2: 1.13950 TP3: 1.13810 Rationale: This is the nearest clearly defined 15-minute bearish order block and offers a more favorable premium location for continuation shorts. Refinement Tip: Treat the 15-minute zones as the higher-timeframe framework and refine execution on the 1-minute or 5-minute chart. Prioritize liquidity sweeps, LTF CHoCH signals and momentum candles before entering; touching a zone alone is not confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading financial markets involves significant risk, and no technical setup provides guaranteed results. This analysis reflects the visible market structure and probability-based scenarios at the time of the chart. It is strictly for educational and analytical purposes; always apply independent judgment, appropriate position sizing and disciplined risk management.