The Hotline: “In 2018, the polls that showed Democratic gubernatorial nominees leading in places like Florida, Iowa, and Ohio, tightened or plateaued in the closing days of the election before the Democrats ultimately lost—despite a blue wave year.”“Eight years later Republican strategists told Hotline they aren’t seeing the same leveling out or rebounding in the polls in the final weeks, a stark warning sign in an already difficult election year.”Said pollster Evan Roth Smith: “There’s an enormous amount of stability in the polling right now… The polling so far has not shown that down the stretch, large numbers of reluctant Republican voters are coming home in the way that Republicans have hoped they would.”