Axios' Barak Ravid is out with a new report:Mediators led by Qatar are trying to restart negotiations after the midtermsQataris working to convince Iran to allow nuclear inspectors in return for some sanctions reliefTrump says "we need to finish the jobs through a deal or another way"The report says "A renewed bombing offensive appears likely shortly after the midterms without a last-minute deal", so this is framed as a last-ditch effort. I'd estimate that strikes are 85% priced in. The White House is telegraphing a short campaign, though how Iran responds might dictate what happens next. In addition, their reaction could come down to where and what the US strikes.The report says "an operation is expected to include a week of massive strikes on Iranian leadership, energy, nuclear and infrastructure targets."Neighbouring countries fear that Iran will retaliate on strikes on its infrastructure with strikes on theirs. There is a sequencing problem beyond Iran even considering giving up nuclear material. As Axios says "Qataris presented ideas for how to bridge the gap between the U.S. demand that Iran give up its enriched uranium stockpile and Iran's insistence that the U.S. first lift its naval blockade and release Iran's frozen funds."This is likely the seven-day proposal that's been floating around. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.