SOL/USDT | H2 | TESTING THE CLOUD BOUNDARIESSolana / USDTMEXC:SOLUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $105.86 (+1.96%) │ TP2: $107.17 (+3.21%) 🛑 SL: $99.72 (-8.00%) │ R/R: 1 : 0.4 ⚠️ Stop is wider than TP2 target (R/R < 1) — the closer target is taken more often, but calculate position size based on the stop size FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND Last week, Solana received a tangible project catalyst — the implementation of the new v1 transaction format and a reduction in slot time to 350 ms, which strengthened the network scalability narrative. Combined with sustained institutional demand through the ETF channel and general risk appetite in the crypto market, the asset is gaining support without distracting macro shocks. No significant macroeconomic releases capable of reversing this backdrop are expected in the coming days — the market remains in a mode of following its own technical structure and flows into altcoins. TECHNICAL PICTURE The price has consolidated inside the Ichimoku cloud, trading almost right at the Tenkan line at $103.74, indicating a struggle for short-term momentum. The Kijun line at $106.38 acts as the nearest resistance — a confident breakout above this level will be required to transition into an active growth phase. CCI at -51.0 signals a neutral-weak zone without extreme oversold conditions, leaving room for recovery. Support from Senkou B at $102.71 remains a key boundary — holding it preserves the cloud structure in favor of buyers. ATR of 1.39 indicates moderate volatility, sufficient for a gradual move to the upper range boundary without sharp impulses. PROBABILITY MODEL The market is locked in a bullish mode, but probabilities are nearly balanced: continuation of growth 37%, sideways 28%, bearish scenario 34%. This distribution is typical for consolidation inside the cloud before a breakout — the upside breakout scenario is technically preferable but requires confirmation through volume (OBV is neutral). In the absence of external negativity, a gradual rise to Kijun at $106.38 is likely, followed by a reassessment of forces. DIRECTION 🟢 BUY — the price is testing Tenkan with support from the Ichimoku cloud, which limits downside from Senkou B.