USDT.D - Predictive Modeling Market Cap USDT Dominance, %CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DVIAQUANTTether dominance is the most important chart to be watching for what happens next with crypto. I am going to lay out both the bullish and bearish scenario, as USDT.D is currently forming the perfect market structure for a violent move in either direction. In this idea I will focus on the bullish scenario for USDT dominance, which would actually be extremely bearish for the crypto market as a whole. To begin, review my last idea on USDT.D: This scenario I am about to lay out aligns with the one outlined above. The main thing to watch for is USDT.D starting to close daily candles back above the parallel channel. If dominance accomplishes that, it could be seen as a false reclaim, and dominance would likely start using the top of the parallel channel as support to push back to the upside toward 8.25%. This would cause a crypto crash. However, if candles continue closing below the parallel channel, as they are doing right now, my bearish scenario applies instead, which can be found here: Now that this is understood, let's examine the bullish scenario for USDT. Right now, there appears to be a double bottom forming on the weekly line chart right around 7%. The line chart only accounts for candle body closes, so it will be very important to see where this closes with tomorrow's weekly candle. If this double bottom does hold, and USDT.D starts breaking back above the parallel channel with multiple daily closes, I will provide a projection on what dominance is likely to do next. The Predictive Head and Shoulders Pattern My prediction is that a Head and Shoulders pattern would form, which would ultimately be the structure that kicks off the next bull market for crypto. If this were to occur, here is how it would look. The left shoulder formed in March 2026, when dominance closed at 8.18%. The head then formed in June 2026, when dominance reached over 9%. If the double bottom does print tomorrow, it would be establishing the neckline of the parallel channel around 7%. From there, USDT.D would likely rally back toward the 8.25% level which is a key future level I have been outlining ever since this idea: It would then likely close somewhere around the 8.18% level on the weekly timeframe, creating the right shoulder of this predictive Head and Shoulders pattern. Once the right shoulder is formed and dominance begins to drop again, it would revisit the neckline around 7%. Once that neckline is broken, it would kick off the true start of the crypto bull market. The measured move breakdown of this pattern would put USDT.D back around 5.3%. One last thing worth noting is the weekly RSI. Since March 2024, USDT.D's weekly RSI has been in a steady uptrend, marked by the green circles. However, with the recent breakout for the crypto markets, that trendline has now been broken to the downside, marked by the red circle. That same weekly RSI trendline is now likely to act as a ceiling for momentum going forward. Based on this, my projection is that if this scenario plays out, USDT.D will rise toward 8.25% while the RSI simultaneously rises back toward that trendline. Then, as USDT.D gets rejected around 8.18% to form the right shoulder, the RSI should be getting rejected from that same weekly trendline at the same time. From there, momentum would begin falling back toward oversold conditions, and the crypto bull market would begin.