GRT/USDT H1: Weakness DUE to lack of catalystsGraph Token / USDTMEXC:GRTUSDTTerminator_Crypto_Analyst🎯 TP1: $0.016272 (+1.14%) │ TP2: $0.016131 (+2.00%) 🛑 SL: $0.016759 (-1.82%) │ R/R: 1 : 1.1 ⚠️ SL is placed beyond the nearest candle tails to reduce the risk of accidental triggering FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND GRT is trading without its own drivers—there is no fresh news on the project, and the token is following the broader crypto market. The main influence comes from fluctuations in BTC and ETH, which are showing increased volatility. The Fear & Greed Index in the 68–69 range supports altcoins but raises the risks of local profit-taking. The nearest significant macro driver is the Fed's rate decision on 09.16.2026, but there are still 14 days until this event. TECHNICAL PICTURE ADX 21.8 confirms a moderate trend with sellers' advantage. The price is below EMA 20 and EMA 50 (0.02), reinforcing the bearish scenario. MACD is near the zero line without a clear impulse. VWAP 0.02 acts as a key resistance level. The current price of $0.016460 is in the middle of the $0.015830–$0.016830 range, indicating uncertainty. PROBABILITY MODEL The bearish scenario dominates (43%) with moderate model confidence (50%). The probability of a bullish continuation is 37%, while sideways movement is 21%. Volatility is moderate (ATR 0.000188), allowing movement in either direction but with a downward bias. DIRECTION 🔴 SELL — pressure from EMA 20 and EMA 50 strengthens the bearish momentum.